Latest News
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BoC holds benchmark rate at 2.25% amid oil price shock
The Bank of Canada held its benchmark interest rate steady on Wednesday but said it’s prepared to adjust monetary policy if needed amid a global oil price shock that risks reigniting inflation. As widely expected,…
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March 18: U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada keep key interest rates unchanged amid oil-driven inflation risks
The U.S. Federal Reserve left short-term interest rates unchanged for the second straight meeting. In a statement, the central bank said that the “implications of developments in the Middle East for the U.S. economy are uncertain.” The…
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NTR.TO Chart
NTR.TO (solid blue, left axis) shows the sharp run-up from ~CA$65 to over $106, while potash MOP prices (dashed orange, right axis) climbed more modestly from ~$320 to ~$355/MT over the same period.
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Canada’s inflation rate eases to 1.8% in February but rising oil prices likely to change outlook
Canada’s annual inflation rate fell to 1.8 per cent in February, after prices in the same period a year ago had risen sharply when the government’s sales-tax relief ended, Statistics Canada said on Monday. Excluding…
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Forecast Week March 16 – March 20
Executive Summary Current TSX Positioning Metric Value Latest close ~32,542 Weekly change −1.6% Distance from record high −5.8% 1-year performance +32% Interpretation:The TSX is in a corrective phase after record highs, not a bear trend.…
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Calendar: Mar 16 – Mar 21
Monday March 16 China’s retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment (8:15 a.m. ET) Canadian housing starts for February. The analyst estimate is a rise of 9.2 per cent on an annualized rate basis.…
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RTMA Mar 16: Kinaxis Inc. (KXS.TO)
Executive Summary 1. Drivers of the Share Price Movement (Last ~10 Days) 1. Broader Software Sector Repricing KXS has been caught in a global software sector repricing driven by: Kinaxis experienced a ~28% decline over…
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RTMA Mar 16: SHOPIFY Inc. (SHOP.TO)
Executive Summary 1. What Caused the 10-Day Share Price Decline 1. Valuation Compression Shopify is one of the most expensive large-cap TSX stocks. Metric Approximate Level Market cap ~$170B P/E ratio ~140× High-multiple stocks tend…
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RTMA Mar 16: Loblaw Co (L.TO)
Executive Summary 1. What Caused the Share Price Decline (Last ~10 Days) 1. Revenue Miss in Latest Earnings The company’s latest quarterly results showed: Metric Result Market Reaction Adjusted EPS Beat estimates Positive Revenue C$16.38B…