Author: Consultant

  • At midday: TSX hits 3-month low as Shaw, resource-linked stocks tumble

    MAY 9 NOON:

    At midday: TSX hits 3-month low as Shaw, resource-linked stocks tumble

    Canada’s main stock index touched a more than three-month low on Monday, pulled down by Shaw Communications and resource-linked stocks as commodities retreated on worries over a slowdown in global economic growth.

    At 10:42 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was down 452.8 points, or 2.19%, at 20,183.42, hitting its lowest level since Jan. 25 with all sub-sectors in red.

    Shaw Communications Inc plunged 9.2% to the bottom of the index after Canada’s Commissioner of Competition said it intends to oppose Rogers Communications Inc’s proposed $20-billion merger with the company.

    The energy sector dropped 4.7%, as oil prices fell, weighed down by a strong dollar and demand concerns on the back of extended coronavirus lockdowns in China, the world’s top oil importer.

    The materials sector, which includes precious and base metals miners and fertilizer companies, lost 3.2% as gold prices retreated 1% as a firmer dollar and elevated U.S. Treasury yields weighed on the appeal of non-yielding bullion.

    “The rally in commodity prices on Friday helped to cushion the blow in Canada relative to the U.S., (on Monday) we see a reversal to that with stocks under pressure and with commodities under pressure,” said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management.

    Toronto-listed technology stocks, down 3.6%, fell for the third straight session, tracking weakness in the U.S. tech-heavy Nasdaq index.

    The financials sector slipped 1%, while the industrials sector fell 2.4%.

    Concerns around a slowdown in global growth amid lockdowns in China and prospects of aggressive policy tightening by major central banks pressured global investor sentiment.

    Investors waited for earnings from major Canadian companies including Suncor Energy, Manulife Financial, Canadian Tire and Canada Goose due later in the week.

    “Unless there is some huge surprise from a specific company, for most part macro forces will be driving the markets,” Cieszynski added.

    U.S. stocks slid on Monday as higher U.S. Treasury yields hit growth stocks amid prospects of aggressive monetary policy tightening, with investor sentiment taking a hit from fears of a sharp economic slowdown in China.

    All of the 11 major S&P sectors fell in early trading.

    The energy sector tumbled 3.4% as oil prices fell more than 2%, sparked by weak China data and a tighter COVID-19 lockdown in Shanghai that deepened fears that the global economy is headed for a slowdown.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 3.4%, while the benchmark S&P 500 index hit its lowest level in a year as megacap stocks Microsoft Corp, Amazon, Apple Inc, Google-owner Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms and Tesla Inc fell between 2.3% and 3.2%.

    Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields were at 3.12% after hitting their highest levels since November 2018 earlier in the session as expectations of higher interest rates unnerved investors.

    After a 50 basis points increase in interest rates this month by the U.S. central bank, many traders expect it to raise it by another 75 basis points at its June meeting.

    “The market is focused on long-term interest rates. The higher they go, the more they’re afraid of a recession or a stagflation economy,” said Christopher Grisanti, chief equity strategist at MAI Capital Management in Cleveland.

    “The fear has become so great that everything is getting sold, the proverbial throwing the baby out with the bathwater.”

    The U.S. Federal Reserve can stick to half point interest rate hikes for the next two to three meetings then assess how the economy and inflation are responding before deciding whether further rises are needed, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic said.

    Investors will keep a close eye on the U.S. inflation data for April for clues on whether the price pressures are reaching a peak.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 333.72 points, or 1.01%, at 32,565.65, the S&P 500 was down 62.00 points, or 1.50%, at 4,061.34, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 238.81 points, or 1.97%, at 11,905.85.

    Technology-focused growth stocks have faced the brunt of the sell-off this year as their returns and valuations are discounted more deeply when yields rise.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq notched a fifth straight weekly loss on Friday, its longest losing streak since the fourth quarter of 2012.

    The S&P 500 growth index has dropped nearly 22.8% so far this year, compared to a 13.5% fall in the benchmark index .

    The first-quarter earnings season is in its final stretch, and of the 434 S&P 500 companies that have reported results as of Friday, 79% have topped analysts’ estimates, according to Refinitiv.

    Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 5.92-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 4.82-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

    Reuters

  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 falls 2% as Asia-Pacific stocks slip; China’s April trade data comes in above expectations

    Japan’s Nikkei 225 falls 2% as Asia-Pacific stocks slip; China’s April trade data comes in above expectations

    • Shares in Asia-Pacific declined in Monday trade.
    • Chinese exports and imports data for April released Monday came in above expectations.
    • Markets in Hong Kong are closed today for a holiday.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/09/asia-pacific-stocks-set-for-lower-start-chinas-april-trade-data-ahead.html

  • China’s April exports slow, imports unchanged as virus curbs expand

    China’s April exports slow, imports unchanged as virus curbs expand

    • China’s export growth slowed to single digits in April, while imports were unchanged as tighter and wider Covid-19 curbs halted factory production, disrupted supply chains and triggered a collapse in domestic demand.
    • Exports in dollar terms grew 3.9% in April from a year earlier, compared with the 14.7% growth reported in March and slightly beating analysts’ forecast of 3.2%.
    • The growth was the slowest since June 2020.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/09/china-economy-april-exports-slow-imports-unchanged-amid-virus-curbs.html

  • Calendar: What investors need to know for the week ahead

    Calendar: What investors need to know for the week ahead

    Monday May 9

    China trade surplus, aggregate yuan financing, new yuan loans and money supply

    Japan PMI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian building permits for March.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. wholesale inventories for March. The Street is projecting an increase of 1.8 per cent from the previous month.

    Earnings include: Ballard Power Systems Inc.; Boardwalk REIT; CT Real Estate Trust; Curaleaf Holdings Inc.; Element Fleet Management Corp.; Ero Copper Corp.; Finning International Inc.; Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd.; George Weston Ltd.; Hudbay Minerals Inc.; Ovintiv Inc.; RioCan REIT; Ritchie Bros Auctioneers

    ==

    Tuesday May 10

    Japan household spending

    (6 a.m. ET) U.S. NFIB Small Business Economic Trends Survey for April.

    Earnings include: Bausch Health Companies Inc.; Converge Technologies Solutions Corp.; Cronos Group Inc.; Dentalcorp Holdings Ltd.; Equitable Group Inc.; Exchange Income Corp.; Freehold Royalties Ltd.; Innergex Renewable Energy Inc.; Intact Financial Corp.; InterRent REIT; Ivanhoe Mines Ltd.; Keyera Corp.; Kinross Gold Corp.; Northland Power Inc.; Nuvei Corp.; NuVista Energy Ltd.; Parex Resources Inc.; Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.; Spartan Delta Corp.; Summit Industrial Income REIT; Suncor Energy Inc.; Superior Plus Corp.

    ==

    Wednesday May 11

    China CPI and PPI

    Germany CPI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. CPI for April. Consensus is a rise of 0.2 per cent from March and 8.1 per cent year-over-year.

    (2 p.m. ET) U.S. Treasury budget for April.

    Earnings include: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.; Boralex Inc.; Boyd Group Services Inc.; CCL Industries Inc.; Crombie REIT; Dye & Durham Ltd.; Goeasy Ltd.; Granite REIT; Interfor Corp.; Manulife Financial Corp.; Pan American Silver Corp.; Paramount Resources Ltd.; Power Corp. of Canada; Smart REIT; Stantec Inc.; Stella-Jones Inc.; Sun Life Financial Inc.; Tricon Capital Group Inc.; Vermilion Energy Inc.; Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd.; WSP Global Inc.

    ==

    Thursday May 12

    Japan current account surplus and bank lending

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for week of May 7. The Street expects 180,000, down 20,000 from the previous week.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. PPI for April. Consensus is a rise of 0.5 per cent from March and 10.7 per cent year-over-year.

    Earnings include: Algonquin Power & Utilities Ltd.; Allkem Ltd.; Brookfield Asset Management Inc.; Canada Goose Holdings Inc.; Canadian Tire Corp. Ltd.; Cascades Inc.; CI Financial Corp.; Crescent Point Energy Corp.; Docebo Inc.; Dream Office REIT; ECN Capital Corp.; E-L Financial Corp. Ltd.; First Majestic Silver Corp.; H&R REIT; iA Financial Corp. Inc.; Intertape Polymer Group Inc.; Leon’s Furniture Ltd.; Lithium Americas Corp.; Northwest Healthcare Properties REIT; Peyto Exploration & Development Corp.; Primo Water Corp.; Quebecor Inc.; Terrascend Corp.

    ==

    Friday May 13

    Euro zone industrial production

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s new motor vehicle sales for March. Estimate is a decline of 20.0 per cent year-over-year.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. import and export price indexes for April. Consensus projections are increases of 0.6 per cent and 0.7 per cent, respectively.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for April.

    (10:30 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada Senior Loan Officer Survey.

    Earnings include: Definity Financial Corp.; Emera Inc.; NexGen Energy Ltd.; Onex Corp.; Seabridge Gold Inc.; Solaris Resources Inc.

  • Longtime China bull Stephen Roach says there’s ‘no way’ Beijing will meet its 5.5% growth target

    Longtime China bull Stephen Roach says there’s ‘no way’ Beijing will meet its 5.5% growth target

    • China is facing “enormous risk” and “formidable pressures” at the moment, according to economist Stephen Roach, who has been a longtime bull on the Asian giant.
    • Beijing has officially set a growth target of around 5.5% for the Chinese economy this year, but Roach says “it will be lucky if it makes 4.”
    • A slowdown in the Chinese economy is set to have global ramifications, he warned, with Beijing now unable to bail out the world the same way it did after the global financial crisis.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/06/theres-no-way-china-will-meet-its-5point5percent-growth-target-stephen-roach.html

  • BCE Reports First-Quarter Profit Up More Than 30 Per Cent From Year Ago

    BCE Reports First-Quarter Profit Up More Than 30 Per Cent From Year Ago

     BCE Inc. reported its first-quarter profit rose more than 30 per cent compared with a year ago as its revenue also moved higher.

    BCE CEO Mirko Bibic said it was the first quarter since the start of the pandemic in which the company’s consolidated financial results surpassed pre-COVID levels.

    The company said its profit attributable to common shareholders totalled $877 million or 96 cents per share for the quarter ended March 31, up from $642 million or 71 cents per share a year earlier.

    Operating revenue totalled $5.85 billion, up from $5.71 billion in the first three months of 2021.

    Wireless revenue rose to $2.21 billion compared with $2.1 billion a year ago, while wireline revenue slipped to $3.01 billion from $3.08 billion. Bell Media revenue totalled $825 million, up from $713 million in the same quarter last year.

    On an adjusted basis, BCE said it earned 89 cents per share in its latest quarter, up from an adjusted profit of 78 cents per share a year earlier.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 5, 2022.

  • Telus Reports Q1 Profit And Revenue Up From Year Ago, Raises Quarterly Dividend

    Telus Reports Q1 Profit And Revenue Up From Year Ago, Raises Quarterly Dividend

    Telus Corp. reports that its first-quarter profit increased compared with a year ago as its revenue climbed more than six per cent.

    The telecom company has also raised its quarterly dividend to 33.86 cents per share, up 7.1 per cent from 31.62 cents.

    Telus says its net income attributable to common shares totalled $385 million or 28 cents per share for the quarter ended March 31, compared with $331 million or 25 cents per share a year ago.

    Operating revenues and other income rose to $4.28 billion compared with $4.02 billion in the first quarter of 2021.

    The company says it added a record 148,000 new customers in the quarter including 46,000 mobile phones, 30,000 internet additions and 26,000 security additions.

    On an adjusted basis, Telus says it earned 30 cents per share in its most recent quarter compared with 27 cents per share a year ago.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 6, 2022.

  • Enbridge Reports $1.93B First-Quarter Profit As Energy Demand And Prices Grow

    Enbridge Reports $1.93B First-Quarter Profit As Energy Demand And Prices Grow

    Enbridge Inc. says its profits rose in the first quarter as energy demand and prices continue to grow.

    The pipeline company reported earnings attributable to common shareholders of $1.927 billion compared with $1.9 billion in the same quarter last year.

    Enbridge says the profit amounted to 95 cents per share for the quarter ended March 31 compared with 94 cents per share a year ago.

    The Calgary-based company said cash provided by operating activities hit $2.94 billion in the first three months of the year, compared with $2.56 billion in the same period of 2021.

    On an adjusted basis, Enbridge says it earned 84 cents per share for the quarter, up from an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

    Enbridge president and CEO Al Monaco says growing energy demand and an underinvestment in new supply is driving energy shortages and higher prices.

    “This global energy crisis further heightens the essential role that conventional energy will play for decades to come,” he said in a statement.

    “Now, more than ever, it’s evident that all forms of energy, conventional and low carbon, are needed to meet the growing demand while ensuring society has access to affordable, reliable, secure and cleaner energy.”

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 6, 202

  • Job growth accelerated by 428,000 in April, more than expected as jobs picture stays strong

    Job growth accelerated by 428,000 in April, more than expected as jobs picture stays strong

    • Nonfarm payrolls grew by 428,000 for April, a bit above the Dow Jones estimate of 400,000 and identical to March.
    • The unemployment rate held at 3.6% after being expected to nudge lower to 3.5%.
    • Leisure and hospitality led job gains followed by manufacturing and transportation and warehousing.
    • Wages rose 0.3% and were up 5.5% from a year ago, about the same as March.

    The U.S. economy added slightly more jobs than expected in April amid an increasingly tight labor market and despite surging inflation and fears of a growth slowdown, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.

    Nonfarm payrolls grew by 428,000 for the month, a bit above the Dow Jones estimate of 400,000. The unemployment rate was 3.6%, slightly higher than the estimate for 3.5%. The April total was identical to the downwardly revised count for March.

    There also was some better news on the inflation front: Average hourly earnings continued to grow, but at a 0.3% level for the month that was a bit below the 0.4% estimate. On a year-over-year basis, earnings were up 5.5%, about the same as in March but still below the pace of inflation.

    An alternative measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons, sometimes referred to as the “real” unemployment rate, edged higher to 7%.

    The labor force participation rate, a key measure of worker engagement, fell 0.2 percentage points for the month to 62.2%, tied for the lowest of the year as the labor force contracted by 363,000.

    Leisure and hospitality again led job growth, adding 78,000. The unemployment rate for the sector, which was hit hardest by the Covid pandemic, plunged to 4.8%, its lowest since September 2019 after peaking at 39.3% in April 2020. Average hourly earnings for the sector increased 0.6% on the month and are up 11% from a year ago.

    Other big gainers included manufacturing (55,000), transportation and warehousing (52,000), Professional and business services (41,000), financial activities (35,000) and health care (34,000). Retail also showed solid growth, adding 29,000 primarily from gains in food and beverage stores.

    Some of the details in the report, though, were not as strong.

    The survey of households actually showed a decline of 353,000, leaving the level 761,000 short of where it was in February 2020, just prior to the start of the pandemic.

    Stock futures moved lower as Wall Street digested the report and government bond yields were mostly higher.

    The report likely will do little to sway the Federal Reserve from its current path of interest rate increases. The central bank announced Wednesday it would increase its benchmark interest rate half a percentage point in what will be an ongoing effort to stamp out price increases running at their fastest pace in more than 40 years.

    “Overall, with labor market conditions still this strong — including very rapid wage growth — we doubt that the Fed is going to abandon its hawkish plans because of the current bout of weakness in equities,” said Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics.

    The job growth comes with U.S. economy experiencing its worst growth quarter since the start of the pandemic and worker output for the first three months that declined 7.5%, the biggest slowdown since 1947 and the second-worst quarter ever recorded. GDP was off 1.4% for the January-through-March period.