Author: Consultant

  • FirstService: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

    FirstService Corp. (FSV) on Thursday reported second-quarter earnings of $35.1 million.

    The Toronto-based company said it had profit of 78 cents per share. Earnings, adjusted for amortization costs and non-recurring costs, were $1.36 per share.

    The results beat Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of four analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of $1.26 per share.

    The property services provider posted revenue of $1.3 billion in the period, also topping Street forecasts. Four analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $1.28 billion.

  • Waste Connections: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

     Waste Connections Inc. (WCN) on Wednesday reported second-quarter earnings of $275.5 million.

    On a per-share basis, the Ontario, Ontario-based company said it had net income of $1.07. Earnings, adjusted for one-time gains and costs, were $1.24 per share.

    The results surpassed Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of 11 analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of $1.18 per share.

    The solid waste services provider posted revenue of $2.25 billion in the period, which also beat Street forecasts. Nine analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $2.22 billion.

  • West Fraser second-quarter profits rise from loss last year, sales also up

    West Fraser Timber Co. says it earned US$105 million in the second quarter, up from a loss of US$131 million a year earlier.

    The Vancouver-based company says it saw sales of US$1.7 billion, up from US$1.6 billion during the same quarter last year.

    Diluted earnings per share were US$1.20, compared with a loss of US$1.57 last year.

    President and CEO Sean McLaren says the company continued to experience demand softness in its North American lumber business.

    However, he says the quarter also benefited from relative strength in new home construction demand carrying over from the first quarter.

    McLaren says the company continues to realize the benefits of the recent closures of some higher-cost lumber mills, and plans to continue focusing on optimizing its asset portfolio to lower costs.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published July 24, 2024.

  • Teck cuts copper forecast as it experiences more bumps with QB2 mine ramp-up

    Teck Resources Ltd. is cutting its copper production forecast and hiking its costs just weeks after the Canadian miner’s focus narrowed significantly to rely only on metals.

    Vancouver-based Teck on Thursday lowered its full year copper forecast by seven per cent to about 468,000 tonnes as it rolled out its second quarter financial results. The company also reduced its molybdenum forecast by 19 per cent.

    Teck increased its copper cost forecast by two per cent to roughly US$2.10 a pound.

    Teck’s copper issues stem mainly from challenges in the ongoing ramp up of its giant QB2 mine in Chile. The company is experiencing grade problems because it isn’t able to access certain areas of QB2 because of geotechnical issues and pit dewatering.

    Teck put the copper mine in the high mountains of northern Chile into production last year after an arduous and expensive construction period. Teck’s costs ended up spiralling to about US$8.7-billion, or 85 per cent higher than a 2019 estimate.

    Teck earlier this month closed the US$6.9-billion sale of 77 per cent of its metallurgical coal business to Glencore PLC of Switzerland. Teck had earlier sold the other 23 per cent of its coal segment to Japan’s Nippon Steel and South Korea’s POSCO.

    Despite generating billions in free cash flow every year, over time fewer investors were willing to put money into Teck any more because of its exposure to coal. That’s because of ESG mandates that forbids many big investors from investing in fossil fuels. By focusing solely on metals such as copper, which doesn’t have the same dirty image as coal, Teck hopes to appeal to a wider class of investors.

    The company’s B shares closed at an all-time high in May of $73.22 a share but have since pulled back by about 15 per cent. On Wednesday the shares were trading down by about 1.2 per cent in early trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

    Glencore originally proposed buying all of Teck early last year, including the company’s copper and zinc mines, in a US$23.1-billion transaction. But Teck repeatedly rejected Glencore’s advances. Controlling Teck shareholder Norman B. Keevil said he was opposed to Glencore buying all of Teck, telling The Globe that “Canada is not for sale.”

    Earlier this month, as Federal Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne approved the Glencore takeover of Teck’s coal business, he sent a stern message that essentially echoed Mr. Keevil’s comments.

    From now on, Mr. Champagne said he will only approve the acquisition of Canadian miners with significant critical minerals operations under the most exceptional of circumstances. That means that Teck and other big Canadian critical minerals miners are essentially takeover-proof.

  • Rogers Communications’ Q2 profit up amid lower restructuring costs from Shaw merger

     Rogers Communications Inc. reported its second-quarter profit rose to $394 million from $109 million a year ago, in part due to lower restructuring and acquisition costs related to its purchase of Shaw Communications last year.

    The company says the profit amounted to 73 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, up from 20 cents per diluted share in the same quarter last year.

    Revenue totalled $5.09 billion, up from $5.05 billion a year earlier, helped by growth in its wireless and media businesses.

    Rogers says wireless revenue totalled $2.47 billion in the quarter, up from $2.42 billion a year earlier, while media revenue rose to $736 million from $686 million a year ago.

    On an adjusted basis, Rogers says it earned $1.16 per diluted share in its latest quarter, an increase from its adjusted profit of $1.02 per diluted share in the same quarter last year.

    President and chief executive Tony Staffieri says Rogers’ strong results for the quarter come amid the backdrop of a growing market and healthy competition in the telecommunications sector.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published July 24, 2024.

  • Bank of Canada cuts key rate to 4.5%

    The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive time on Wednesday and said that it is now putting more emphasis on downside risks to economic growth, rather than focusing mainly on the risk of a rebound in inflation.

    The widely anticipated move brings the bank’s policy rate to 4.5 per cent from 4.75 per cent. This is the second cut in a long-awaited monetary policy easing cycle, and comes after the bank raised interest rates 10 times in 2022 and 2023 to tackle the most serious bout of inflation in a generation.

    Price pressures have eased over the past two years, as global supply chains have improved, economic growth has stalled and restrictive interest rates have curbed consumer spending. That’s led the bank to adopt a more balanced approach to monetary policy in its latest rate decision, teeing up additional interest rate cuts later this year.

    “As inflation gets closer to the 2-per-cent target, the risk that inflation comes in higher than expected has to be increasingly balanced against the risk that the economy and inflation could be weaker than expected,” Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said, according to the prepared text of his press conference opening statement.

    He said that it is “reasonable” to expect additional rate cuts if inflation continues trending lower, as the central bank is forecasting. But he said that the bank’s governing council will be “taking our monetary policy decisions one at a time.”

    The annual rate of consumer price index inflation has been below 3 per cent since the start of year, coming in at 2.7 per cent in June, down from a peak of 8.1 per cent in 2022. The bank’s updated forecast sees inflation falling below 2.5 per cent in the second half of the year and settling “sustainably” at 2 per cent next year.

    Muted demand for goods and services, alongside rising unemployment and a weakening labour market, is pulling inflation lower.

    However, there are still some areas where price pressures remain, including for rent, mortgage interest costs and services that are sensitive to wage increases. And the bank warned geopolitical turmoil, trade disruptions and political risks, such as new tariffs, could put upward pressure on inflation.

    “We are increasingly confident that the ingredients to bring inflation back to target are in place. But the push-pull of these opposing forces means the decline in inflation will likely be gradual, and there could be setbacks along the way,” Mr. Macklem said.

    So far, inflation has returned to normal levels without the Canadian economy falling into a recession. That looks like a soft-landing, which many economists thought was impossible a year ago.

    However, the country’s positive gross domestic product growth is largely a result of a rapid increase in population. On a per-person basis, GDP has declined for the past year-and-a-half.

    GDP growth came in weaker-than-expected in the first half of the year. In its quarterly Monetary Policy Report (MPR), published Wednesday, the bank chalked this up to slowing demand for vehicles and travel, as well as muted consumer spending on discretionary goods as households put more money towards servicing their debt.

    The MPR sees economic growth picking up in the second half of the year and through 2025. Annual GDP growth is expected to be 1.2 per cent this year, before rising to 2.1 per cent in 2025 and 2.4 per cent in 2026.

    “This reflects stronger exports and a recovery in household spending as borrowing costs ease. Business investment is also expected to strengthen as demand picks up, and residential investment is forecast to grow robustly,” Mr. Macklem said.

    “Over all, with the economy strengthening, excess supply will be absorbed next year and into 2026.”

    Wednesday’s rate cut will be welcomed by homeowners with variable rate mortgages, which track changes in the central bank’s policy rate. Interest rates for fixed-rate mortgages, which are based on yields in bond markets, may move less.

    Either way, housing affordability will remain stretched until interest rates fall further, and analysts are not expecting an immediate rebound in the housing market.

  • CN Rail lowers 2024 earnings forecast due to strike uncertainty

    Canadian National Railway Co. says it earned $1.11 billion in the second quarter, though it lowered its forecast for earnings growth as it faces the threat of a worker strike.

    The Montreal-based railway says its net income was five per cent lower than the $1.17 billion in the same three months of 2023.

    On an adjusted basis, the Montreal-based railway says it earned $1.17 billion in the second quarter of 2024, or $1.84 per share compared with $1.76 per share in the prior year’s quarter.

    The railway reported revenues of $4.33 billion, a seven per cent increase year-over-year.

    But CN said it is lowering its forecasted adjusted earnings per share growth for the year to the mid to high single-digit range, compared to an earlier forecast that predicted earnings per share growth of approximately 10 per cent.

    The company attributed the revised forecast to continued uncertainty in light of a recent move by the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference union to reject CN’s offer to enter into binding arbitration, a development that heightens the risk of a work stoppage.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published June 23, 2024.

  • China Lowers Policy Rates To Prop Up Growth

    By Renju Jaya   ✉  | Published: 7/22/2024 2:07 AM ET | 

    chinacentralbank jul20 22jul24 lt

    China lowered its short-term policy rate as well as benchmark lending rates on Monday, in order to prop up growth.

    The People’s Bank of China cut the interest rate on seven-day reverse repos to 1.7 percent from 1.8 percent.

    The action was aimed to strengthen counter-cyclical adjustments to better support the real economy, the central bank said.

    On Monday, the PBoC conducted CNY 58.2 billion of seven-day reverse repos. The operation will help to keep reasonable and ample liquidity in the banking system, the bank added.

    Last month, PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng said the seven-day reverse repo would gradually become the main policy rate.

    After cutting seven-day reverse repo rate, the central bank lowered the one-year loan prime rate to 3.35 percent from 3.45 percent.

    Similarly, the five-year LPR, the benchmark for mortgage rates, was trimmed to 3.85 percent from 3.95 percent. The five-year LPR was last lowered by 5 basis points in February.

    The PBoC fixes the LPR monthly based on the submission of 18 designated banks. However, Beijing has influence over the fixing. The LPR replaced the traditional benchmark lending rate in August 2019.

    The reduction in LPR came as a surprise as the PBoC last week maintained the rate on the medium-term lending facility, which is considered as guide to the LPR fixing, at 2.50 percent.

    The policy easing measures came a week after official data showed that economic growth softened to 4.7 percent in the second quarter on weaker consumption and property market downturn.

    “If the PBOC is serious about monetary stimulus, it should cut rates much more substantially,” Capital Economics’ economist Julian Evans-Pritchard said. “However, efforts to stabilise long-term yields and keep currency depreciation in check mean that large scale rate cuts still seem unlikely,” he added.

    The economist expects one more 10 basis point cut this year.

    Although the weakness of the Chinese yuan held back the PBoC from monetary policy easing earlier, the recent dovish developments in the US and the slight softening of the dollar over the past month may have created a suitable window from the central bank to cut rates today, ING economist Lynn Song said.

    The economist forecasts at least one more rate cut in the coming months as China will have a more challenging second half if it is to maintain 5 percent growth for the full year.

  • Calendar: July 22 – July 16

    Monday July 22

    Earnings include: Cleveland-Cliffs, Verizon, Nucor

    Tuesday July 23

    Euro area consumer confidence

    830 am ET: Canada new housing price index for June

    10 am ET: U.S. existing home sales for June

    Earnings include: Canadian National Railway, Alphabet, Tesla, Visa, Coca-Cola, Texas Instruments, Danaher, General Electric, Philip Morris International, Comcast, United Parcel Service, Lockhead Martin, Sherwin-Williams, Moody’s, Freeport-McMoRan, Spotify, Capital One, General Motors, Kimberly-Clark, MSCI, PulteGroup, KB Financial, Mattel

    Wednesday July 24

    Japan manufacturing PMI

    Euro area manufacturing PMI. Germany consumer confidence

    830 am ET: U.S. goods trade deficit.

    830 am ET: U.S. wholesale and retail inventories for June.

    945 am ET: S&P Global PMIs

    10 am ET: U.S. new home sales for June.

    945 am ET: Bank of Canada policy announcement and monetary policy report. Press conference at 1030 am.

    Earnings include: A&W Revenue Royalties, Aecon Group, Athabasca Oil, Celestica, Methanex, Rogers Communications, Suncor Energy, Teck Resources, Tilray, West Fraser Timber, Whitecap Resources, IBM, AT&T, Boston Scientific, Waste Management, General Dynamics, Chipotle Mexican Grill, CME Group, Ford Motor, Newmont, Las Vegas Sands, KBR, Thermo Fisher, Whirlpool

    Thursday July 25

    Germany and France business confidence

    830 am ET: Canada payroll survey and job vacancy rate for May

    930 am ET: U.S. initial jobless claims.

    830 am ET: U.S. real GDP for the second quarter. Consensus is for expansion of 1.9% annualized.

    830 am ET: U.S. durable goods orders for June. Consensus is for a rise of 0.4%.

    Earnings include: Bombardier, Baytex Energy, Canfor, Cenovus Energy, Eldorado Gold, Loblaw, MEG Energy, Mullen Group, AstraZeneca, Union Pacific, Unilever, Honeywell International, British American Tobacco, Northrop Grumman, Norfolk Southern, Valero Energy, Vale, Weyerhaeuser, Southwest Airlines, Lear, American Airlines

    Friday July 26

    China industrial profits. Japan CPI

    European Central bank 3-year CPI expectations. France and Italy consumer confidence

    Canadian budget balance.

    830 am ET: U.S. personal spending and income.

    830 am ET: U.S. core PCE price index for June. Consensus is for a monthly rise of 0.2%, or 2.6% from a year ago. In May it rose 0.1%.

    10 am ET: U.S. University of Michigan consumer sentiment.

    Earnings include: Canfor Pulp Products, George Weston, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Southern Copper, Colgate-Palmolive, 3M, Royal Caribbean Cruises