Category: Uncategorized

  • Closing Bell (June 11): Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. down on Tuesday (CNQ)

    Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. opened trading today at $48.63 and closed at $48.92. prices ranged from a low of $47.87 to a high of $49.22.

    Shares boosted 0.23 percent from the previous day’s close of $48.81.

    During the day across North America, the TSX Composite closed -0.83% at 21887.34, the S&P 500 closed 0.26% at 5360.79, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 0.18% at 38868.04 and the Nasdaq Composite closed 0.35% at 17192.53.

    Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. has listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) under the ticker CNQ.

    A total of 17,894,921 shares was traded during the session, with total trades of 17,785, while having an average volume of 24,356,893 over 5 days.

    The TSX market on the whole today saw 2,014 price advancers against 3,108 declines and 138 unchanged.

    During the prior 52 weeks, CNQ.TO has traded as high as $56.49 (April 10,2024) and low as $34.92 (June 20,2023). Moreover, the shares have boosted 29.99% in the last 52 weeks, while they have advanced 12.71% since the start of 2024.

    It announced a 0.53 dividend on February 29/24, with an March 14/24 ex-date and April 05/24 pay day.

    Following today’s trading, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. has a market capitalization of $104.26 billion on a float of 2,136,209 shares outstanding. Its annual EPS is $3.38.

    Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. is a TSX Oil & Gas E&P company headquartered in Calgary, CAN.

    Currently, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.’s consensus rating is “Moderate Buy” based on 17 analysts according to Zacks. From those 17 analysts, 8 have buy ratings and 9 analysts gave hold ratings.

  • Freeland says broad strokes of capital-gains tax hike haven’t changed, details coming Monday

    The federal government isn’t changing the broad strokes of its capital-gains tax hike, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland says, despite a pressure campaign from the country’s top business groups and lead medical association that say the reform will hurt the economy and drive doctors away.

    In a Sunday speech at a Toronto YMCA outlining the political argument for the tax hike, Ms. Freeland described the $19.4-billion revenue boost, over five years, as one that the rich can afford and that must be done to help everyone else.

    The government will only detail the specifics of the policy in a motion in the House of Commons on Monday. It will take effect on June 25.

    In some of her most charged comments yet, Ms. Freeland warned Canada’s top 1 per cent of dire consequences if additional spending on housing, a school food program and contraceptives doesn’t get funded in part through the tax hike.

    “Do you want to live in a country where those at the very top live lives of luxury, but must do so in gated communities behind ever higher fences, using private health care and airplanes because the public sphere is so degraded and the wrath of the vast majority of their less privileged compatriots burns so hot?” the Finance Minister and Deputy Prime Minister said.

    Ms. Freeland’s arguments signal that the government isn’t making changes to the plan that sparked swift condemnation from groups opposed to the tax hike.

    The Canadian Medical Association said the change will worsen the doctor shortage. The Canadian Federation of Independent Business said the policy appeared to be “more about politics than tax fairness.” And the Council of Canadian Innovators posted a statement on social media, describing Ms. Freeland’s 15-minute speech as a “political diatribe” and an attempt at “class warfare from a desperate government.”

    A capital gain is the profit an individual or a business makes when they sell assets such as stocks or investment properties. As it stands, only half of all capital gains are subject to taxation. The April budget proposed increasing the inclusion rate to two-thirds for capital gains earned by corporations and trusts. The higher inclusion rate would also apply to capital gains of more than $250,000 a year earned by individuals.

    Individuals such as doctors who operate their practices through professional corporations, and use tax strategies that turn normal income into capital gains, won’t benefit from the exemption for the first $250,000.

    On Sunday, the Canadian Medical Association said it was “deeply disappointed” that the government is going ahead with changes “that will add undue pressure and financial strain on physicians, undermining the stability of our health care system.”

    Asked about the concerns raised by doctors, Ms. Freeland said the policy will follow the “broad outlines” of the tax hike as detailed in the April budget. She reiterated her position that the tax hike is a “plan for tax fairness.”

    The Canadian Federation of Independent Business had asked the government to extend corporations the same $250,000 carveout that it granted individuals. Based on Ms. Freeland’s comment, chief executive Dan Kelly said he believes the government made no major changes.

    He criticized the federal government for taking almost two months to release the details of the plan, further limiting the choices available to businesses, given that the tax hike takes effect in two weeks.

    According to numbers in the budget, around 40,000 individuals – only 0.13 per cent of taxpayers – are expected to make more than $250,000 in capital gains next year. The implication is that the higher inclusion rate won’t affect personal income taxes for the other 99.87 per cent.

    But by only looking at one year, the budget undercounts the number of people who may receive more than $250,000 in capital gains on a one-time basis. This could happen, for example, if someone sells a cottage or investment property, which is not exempt from capital-gains taxation the same way primary residences are.

    The changes will also affect tech entrepreneurs and venture capitalists, who earn most of their money founding and selling businesses.

    “The government is undermining the very foundations of entrepreneurship, risk-taking and innovation that drive our economy forward,” said Kim Furlong, CEO of Canadian Venture Capital and Private Equity Association.

    The Canadian Chamber of Commerce said the country’s tax system has “become a complicated, politicized web of carve outs and caveats” and urged an independent review of the entire regime.

    The Conservatives have not yet said how they will vote on the tax hike, while the NDP say they support it in principle.

    According to a Nanos Research poll, Canadians are divided on the proposed tax hike, with 38 per cent saying they think it is fair, and 45 per cent saying they think it will weaken the economy. A further 17 per cent said they were unsure.

    The telephone poll was conducted between April 28 and May 1, with 1,086 respondents. It has a margin of error of three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

  • Calendar: June 10 – June 14

    Monday June 10

    China aggregate yuan financing and new yuan loans

    Japan real GDP and banking lending

    Italy industrial production

    Tuesday June 11

    Japan machine tool orders

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian building permits for April. Estimate is a month-over-month increase of 5.0 per cent.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. quarterly services survey for Q1.

    Also: U.S. Fed meeting begins

    Earnings include: Major Drilling International Inc.

    Wednesday June 12

    China CPI and PPI

    Germany CPI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. CPI for May. The Street is expecting a month-over-month increase of 0.1 per cent and a year-over-year gain of 3.4 per cent.

    (2 p.m. ET) U.S. Fed announcement and summary of economic projections with chair Jerome Powell’s press briefing to follow.

    (3:15 p.m. ET) Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem joins a panel at the Conference of Montreal.

    Earnings include: Broadcom Inc.; Dollarama Inc.; Wall Financial Corp.

    Thursday June 13

    Bank of Japan meeting and monetary policy announcement (through Friday)

    Euro zone industrial production

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s national balance sheet and financial flow accounts for Q1.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for week of June 8. Estimate is 225,000, down 4,000 from the previous week.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. PPI final demand for May. Consensus is a rise of 0.2 per cent from April and up 2.7 per cent year-over-year.

    (9:35 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada deputy governor Sharon Kozicki speaks at the Canadian Association for Business Economics.

    Earnings include: Adobe Systems Inc.; Kroger Co.

    Friday June 14

    Japan industrial production

    Euro zone trade surplus

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian manufacturing sales and new orders for April. Estimates are month-over-month increases of 1.2 per cent and 2.0 per cent, respectively.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian wholesale trade for April. Estimate is a gain of 2.8 per cent from March.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s new motor vehicle sales for April. Estimate is a year-over-year rise of 15.0 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. import prices for May. The Street expects an increase of 0.1 per cent from April and 1.6 per cent year-over-year.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. University of Michigan consumer sentiment for June.

  • U.S. unemployment rate up slightly as economy adds far more jobs than expected in May

    U.S. job growth accelerated far more than expected in May, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to hold off starting to cut interest rates until September at the earliest.

    The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on Friday also showed the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.0 per cent from 3.9 per cent in April, breaking a symbolic threshold below which the jobless rate had previously held for 27 straight months.

    While the labour market has softened in recent months, its still-solid clip has allowed the Fed to take its time so far in deciding when to begin lowering borrowing costs.

    Nonfarm payrolls increased by 272,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said. Revisions showed 15,000 fewer jobs created in March and April combined than previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls advancing by 185,000. Estimates ranged from 120,000 to 258,000.

    The U.S. central bank is expected to leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged next week in the current 5.25 per cent-5.50 per cent range, where it has been since last July.

    There are some other signs though that the job market is beginning to loosen more steadily. The U.S. central bank is closely monitoring labour market conditions and economic growth to ensure it doesn’t keep rates too high for too long and overcool the economy as it tries to return inflation back to its 2 per cent target.

    Overall economic output in the first quarter grew at the slowest rate in nearly two years and data so far in the current quarter on balance has been weaker than expected.

    Data earlier this week showed job openings declined in April and the number of available jobs per job-seeker reached its lowest level since June 2021.

  • Bank Of Canada Lowers Interest Rates By A Quarter Point As Widely Expected

    Citing continued evidence that underlying inflation is easing, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday announced it has decided to lower interest rates by 25 basis points.

    The Bank of Canada reduced its target for the overnight rate to 4.75 percent, with the bank rate at 5.0 percent and the deposit rate at 4.75 percent.

    The widely expected decision comes as recent data has increased the Canadian central bank’s confidence that inflation will continue to move towards its 2 percent target.

    The bank’s accompanying statement noted its preferred measures of core inflation has slowed, while three-month measures suggest continued downward momentum.

    Nonetheless, the Bank of Canada noted risks to the inflation outlook remain and said its Governing Council is closely watching the evolution of core inflation.

    The Governing Council remains particularly focused on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behavior, the bank said.

    The Bank of Canada’s next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is July 24, when the bank will also publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation.

  • U.S. private payrolls rose less than expected in May, report shows

    U.S. private payrolls increased less than expected in May while data for the prior month was revised lower, a report showed on Wednesday.

    Private payrolls increased by 152,000 jobs last month after rising by a downwardly revised 188,000 in April, the ADP Employment report showed. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment increasing by 175,000 last month.

    The report was the latest indication that employment is not buckling under the weight of 525 basis points of interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve since March 2022, although other data has shown the job market is coming into better balance.

    On Tuesday, the Labor Department reported job openings fell in April to the fewest in more than three years and the ratio of vacancies to the number of unemployed persons had returned to levels seen prior to the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in early 2020.

    The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, also precedes Friday’s more comprehensive and closely watched nonfarm payrolls report for May from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    Economists polled by Reuters expect the BLS data to show 170,000 private-sector jobs were created last month, little changed from April’s 167,000, while total payroll growth is estimated at 185,000 versus 175,000 in April. The unemployment rate is forecast unchanged at 3.9 per cent and annual wage increases holding steady at 3.9 per cent.

  • June 4 -TSX Ends Notably Lower

    The Canadian market tumbled Tuesday morning on heavy selling in materials and energy stocks, and despite regaining some lost ground subsequently, ended the day’s session notably lower.

    Investors looked ahead to the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision, due on Wednesday. The European Central Bank’s policy announcement, due on Thursday, and the U.S. jobs data, are also eyed for directional clues.

    The benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index ended with a loss of 138.51 points or 0.63% at 21,978.18, about 150 points off the day’s low of 21,828.40.

    Materials and energy stocks were the major losers. The Materials Capped Index lost nearly 4%, while the Energy Capped Index dropped 2.06%. Shares from the rest of the sectors ended mixed.

    Ssr Mining Inc (SSRM.TO), down 8.8%, was the biggest loser in the Materials index. Ero Copper (ERO.TO), Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS.TO), Ivanhoe Mines (IVN.TO), First Quantum Minerals (FM.TO), First Majestic Silver Corp (AG.TO), Seabridge Inc (SEA.TO), Teck Resources (TECK.B.TO), Filo Mining (FIL.TO), Silvercrest Metals (SIL.TO) and Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO) lost 5 to 7%.

    Energy stocks Veren Inc (VRN.TO), Precision Drilling Corp (PD.TO), Birchcliff Energy (BIR.TO), Enerplus Corp (ERF.TO), Vermilion Energy (VET.TO), Baytex Energy (BTE.TO), International Petroleum Corp (IPCO.TO) and Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO) ended down 2.7 to 4%.

    Celestica Inc (CLS.TO), BRP Inc (DOO.TO), EQB Inc (EQB.TO) and West Fraser Timber (WFG.TO) were among the other major losers in the session.

    Park Lawn Corporation (PLC.TO) zoomed nearly 60%. The company announced on Monday that it has entered into an arrangement agreement with Viridian Acquisition Inc., an affiliate of Homesteaders Life Company and Birch Hill Equity Partners Management Inc., pursuant to which Viridian and Birch Hill will acquire all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Park Lawn for a price of $26.50 per share in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.2 billion.

    GFL Environmental (GFL.TO) rallied 6.9%. Russel Metals (RUS.TO) climbed 4.7%. Stella-Jones (SJ.TO), Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC.TO), Metro Inc (MRU.TO), TFI International (TFII.TO), Waste Connections (WCN.TO), RB Global Inc (RBA.TO), Shopify Inc (SHOP.TO) and Stantec Inc (STN.TO) gained 1.9 to 3.2%.

  • U.S. crude oil extends losses, falls below $73 per barrel on OPEC+ increasing supply

    • U.S. crude oil has erased most gains for the year and is now up just under 2% in 2024.
    • In a surprise move, eight OPEC+ producers laid out a plan to phase out 2.2 million bpd in production cuts starting in October.
    • The OPEC+ decision has let the “bearish genie out of the bottle,” analyst Tamas Varga said.

    Crude oil prices today: WTI below $73 as OPEC+ to increase supply (cnbc.com)

  • Oil alliance OPEC+ extends collective crude production cuts into 2025

    • The influential Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, on Sunday agreed to extend their official crude output cuts into 2025, also stretching two other sets of supply curbs over different periods.
    • In a Google-translated statement carried by the state-owned Saudi Press Agency, a subset of the OPEC+ alliance, including kingpins Saudi Arabia and Russia, said they would extend a set of nearly 1.7 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts that were set to expire at the end of this year.
    • This smaller group of OPEC+ member will also stretch another round of voluntary output cuts totalling 2.2 million barrels per day until the end of the third quarter of this year.

    Oil alliance OPEC+ extends collective crude production cuts into 2025 (cnbc.com)