Category: Uncategorized

  • Calendar: Dec 4 – Dec 8

    Monday December 4

    Germany trade surplus

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. factory orders for October. The Street is projecting a decline of 2.7 per cent from September.

    Earnings include: Nio Inc.

    Tuesday December 5

    Japan, China services and composite PMI

    Euro zone services and composite PMI and producer price index

    (9:30 a.m. ET) Canadian S&P Global Services PMI for November.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. ISM Services PMI for November.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for October.

    Earnings include: AutoZone Inc.; Descartes Systems Group Inc.; Ferguson PLC

    Wednesday December 6

    China trade surplus

    Euro zone retail sales

    Germany factory orders

    (8:15 a.m. ET) U.S. ADP National Employment Report for November. Estimate is an increase of 125,000 jobs from October.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian labour productivity for Q3. Estimate is a month-over-month drop of 0.6 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s merchandise trade balance for October.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. productivity for Q3. The Street expects an annualized rate increase of 4.9 per cent with unit labour costs declining 0.9 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. goods and service trade balance for October

    (10 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s policy announcement.

    Earnings include: Brown Forman Corp.; Campbell Soup Co.; Evertz Technologies Inc.; GameStop Corp.; North West Company Inc.

    Thursday December 7

    Euro zone real GDP

    Germany industrial production

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian building permits for October.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for Dec. 2. Estimate is 225,000, up 7,000 from the previous week.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. wholesale trade for October.

    (12 p.m. ET) U.S. flow of funds for Q3.

    (12:15 p.m. ET) Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle speaks at the Windsor-Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce.

    (3 p.m. ET) U.S. consumer credit for October.

    Earnings include: Broadcom Inc.; Dollar General Corp.; EQB Inc.; Laurentian Bank of Canada; Lululemon Athletica Inc.

    Friday December 8

    Japan real GDP, household spending and bank lending

    Germany CPI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s capacity utilization for Q3. Estimate is 81.0 per cent, down from 81.4 per cent in Q2.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. employment for November. The consensus is an increase of 200,000 jobs from October with the unemployment rate remaining 3.9 per cent and average hourly earnings up 0.3 per cent (or 4.0 per cent year-over-year).

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December.

    Earnings include: Canadian Western Bank

  • Big Six banks boosted year-end bonus payments across the board

    Half of Canada’s six biggest banks reported higher profits for their 2023 fiscal year and half saw profits sink, but year-end bonus payments were consistent: They were boosted across the board.

    While the increase in performance-based compensation varied widely from as low as 0.2 per cent at National Bank of Canada NA-T +4.85%increaseto a whopping 23 per cent at Toronto-Dominion Bank TD-T -1.00%decrease, all six institutions collectively set aside $21.2-billion for bonus pay in the fiscal year ended Oct. 31. That total represents a 9-per-cent increase from 2022.

    Last year, the country’s largest lenders raised bonuses by a narrow 1.9 per cent amid a tight labour market that sparked competition for talent. Compensation experts had been expecting draconian cuts to Bay Street bonuses this year amid weak deal-making activity and plans for widespread job cuts of between 2 per cent and 5 per cent of each bank’s global work force.

    Despite the dramatic increase the banks delivered instead, many bankers are still likely to receive smaller payouts.

    “Depending on what room you sit in and at what bank, your bonus conversation is likely to be very different this year,” Travis O’Rourke, president of recruitment agency Hays Canada, said in an interview. “M&A activity has been very slow. IPOs have been very slow, so it is likely that bonuses will be low if you’re in one of those sections. Your A players are still your A players, but those who are on a list somewhere as maybe more expendable, they are the ones who are feeling the brunt of this. C players know they are C players.”

    National Bank, BMO, RBC, TD Scotiabank and CIBC: A breakdown of the big banks’ fourth-quarter earnings

    Bank of Montreal profit slumps as Bank of the West costs drag on fourth-quarter earnings

    Bill Vlaad, chief executive of Toronto-based executive search firm Vlaad and Co., said one reason why banks have been able to set aside more money for performance-based pay in the face of a challenging market is because bonuses were increased much more modestly in 2022.

    “The numbers were bad this year, but they could have been worse,” Mr. Vlaad said. “I think a few firms last year took a little bit off the top in preparation for” a more challenging 2023.

    Bonuses are based on performance, and the bulk of that compensation is paid to capital markets employees, which include traders, analysts and investment bankers, whose pay is traditionally more variable depending on performance and market conditions.

    Bank of Nova Scotia BNS-T +0.49%increase set aside $2.08-billion in performance-based pay, a 4-per-cent increase year-over-year compared, with a 4-per-cent drop in 2022. The lender’s capital markets profit fell 7 per cent to $1.8-billion on softer trading revenue and higher loan loss provisions.

    The bank said in October that it plans to cut 3 per cent of its global work force in an attempt to reign in costs. Its employee base fell 1.7 per cent in the fourth quarter, with the most significant culling in its capital markets division. That unit’s staff numbers fell 4.6 per cent from the previous quarter.

    The reductions come as Scotiabank prepares to launch its turnaround plan in December to focus its operations on areas where it believes it can bolster its growth and revive its beleaguered share price.

    “Loan growth has moderated considerably in recent quarters as our [global banking and markets] team continues to take a more targeted approach to client selection with a focus on industries and geographies where we can deliver higher returns and more multiproduct value-add to our clients,” chief executive Scott Thomson said during a conference call with analysts on Tuesday.

    RBC reports $4.1-billion fourth-quarter profit on surge in capital markets results, beats estimates

    TD cutting jobs as profit down by 57%, missing forecasts amid rising expenses

    Royal Bank of Canada RY-T +0.26%increase earmarked $7.6-billion for variable compensation, a 6.7-per-cent increase year-over-year compared with a 0.25-per-cent drop in 2022. Capital markets profit surged 23 per cent from last year to $4.1-billion on a boost in revenue from corporate and investment banking, and global markets as the bank launched new products and expanded its advisory services.

    TD allocated $4.1-billion in incentive pay, a 23-per-cent jump from last year when the bonus pool was increased by 7 per cent. Profit in its capital markets unit fell 42 per cent to $770-million from last year, weighed down by higher expenses and costs related to its takeover of New York-based investment bank Cowen Inc.

    The boom in bonuses is coming from several factors, including the bank’s larger employee base, its acquisition of New York-based investment bank Cowen Inc. and impact from foreign exchange owing to a stronger U.S. dollar, TD chief financial officer Kelvin Tran said in an interview. Incentive pay was partly offset by lower financial performance, he added.

    “We are delivering compensation that is market competitive and performance-based, and also with practices in place to promote fair and consistent outcomes and alignment between executives and our employees,” Mr. Tran said.

    Bank of Montreal BMO-T +2.05%increase set aside $3.6-billion in performance-based pay, a 12-per-cent increase year-over-year as the lender brought on bankers from its takeover of California-based Bank of the West. This year’s boom in bonuses compared with a 1-per-cent drop in 2022. The bank’s profits edge higher by 5 per cent to $1.7-billion as a boost in revenue in corporate and investment banking offset a drop in underwriting and advisory activity

    Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM-T +0.80%increase increased its bonuses by 2.2 per cent to $2.5-billion, a drop from last year’s 5.6-per-cent increase. Capital market net income edged higher by 4 per cent to $2-billion.

    National Bank of Canada raised bonuses by the slimmest margin, increasing variable compensation by 0.2 per cent to $1.3-billion. Last year, the lender increased bonuses by 5 per cent.

    Data from recruitment firm Robert Half suggest the vast majority of finance and accounting professionals in Canada will receive at least as much performance-based compensation this year as they did in 2022.

    Based on a survey conducted in early November of 171 finance and accounting managers across Canada – 32 of which worked for companies with 1,000 or more employees – 52 per cent said they expected bonus payments to be about the same as last year, 27 per cent expected to pay more in 2023 than they did last year and only 11 per cent said bonuses were down compared with 2022 levels. The remaining 10 per cent said their company would not be awarding year-end bonuses this year.

  • Dec 1 , 2023: ‘Struggling to grow’: Canada’s economy shrinks in third quarter amid higher interest rates

    In a sharp contrast to the robust growth in the United States, the Canadian economy tumbled over the summer as export shipments waned and consumer spending flattened, signs of a continuing malaise as the country grapples with higher interest rates.

    Real gross domestic product fell at an annualized pace of 1.1 per cent in the third quarter, according to figures published by Statistics Canada. Canada’s economic performance increasingly diverged from that of the U.S., which posted a 5.2-per-cent expansion in the third quarter. The results were also considerably weaker than the Bank of Canada’s estimate of 0.8-per-cent growth and Bay Street’s expectations of a slim 0.1-per-cent increase.

    Canada did, however, avoid two consecutive quarters of GDP decline – what some economists refer to as a “technical recession.” Statscan made sharp upward revisions to its second-quarter figures, which are now showing annualized growth of 1.4 per cent, where previously they showed a slight decline.

  • CIBC reports Q4 profit up from year ago, raises quarterly dividend

    CIBC reported its fourth-quarter profit rose compared with a year ago and raised its dividend.

    The bank says it will now pay a quarterly dividend of 90 cents per share, up from 87 cents per share.

    The increased payment to shareholders came as CIBC said it earned $1.48 billion or $1.53 per diluted share for the quarter ended Oct. 31 compared with a profit of nearly $1.19 billion or $1.26 per diluted share a year earlier.

    Revenue totalled $5.84 billion for the quarter, up from nearly $5.39 billion a year earlier, while the bank’s provision for credit losses amounted to $541 million, up from $436 million in the same quarter last year.

    On an adjusted basis, CIBC said it earned $1.57 per diluted share in its latest quarter, up from an adjusted profit of $1.39 per diluted share a year earlier.

    Analysts on average had expected an adjusted profit of $1.53 per share, based on estimates compiled by financial markets data firm Refinitiv.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 30, 2023.

  • RBC reports $4.13B Q4 profit, up from $3.88B a year ago, and raises dividend

    Royal Bank of Canada reported a fourth-quarter profit of $4.13 billion, up from $3.88 billion a year earlier, and raised its dividend.

    The bank says it will now pay a quarterly dividend of $1.38 per share, up three cents from $1.35.

    The increased payment to shareholders came as RBC reported its profit amounted to $2.90 per diluted share for the quarter ended Oct. 31, up from $2.74 per diluted share a year earlier.

    Revenue totalled $13.03 billion in the bank’s most recent quarter, up from $12.57 billion in the same quarter last year, while the bank’s provision for credit losses rose to $720 million, up from $381 million a year earlier.

    On an adjusted basis, RBC earned $2.78 per diluted share in its latest quarter, unchanged from the same quarter last year.

    Analysts on average had expected an adjusted profit of $2.62 per share, according to estimates compiled by financial markets data firm Refinitiv.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 30, 2023.

  • TD Bank reports Q4 profit down from year ago, raises quarterly dividend

    TD Bank Group reported its fourth-quarter profit fell compared with a year ago, but raised its dividend.

    The bank says it will now pay a quarterly dividend of $1.02 per share, up from 96 cents.

    The increased payment to shareholders came as TD said it earned $2.89 billion or $1.49 per diluted share for the quarter ended Oct. 31, down from a profit of $6.67 billion or $3.62 per diluted share a year earlier.

    TD reported revenue totalled $13.12 billion, down from $15.56 billion in the same quarter last year, while its provision for credit losses amounted to $878 million, up from $617 million a year earlier.

    On an adjusted basis, TD says it earned $1.83 per diluted share, down from an adjusted profit of $2.18 per diluted share a year ago.

    Analysts on average had expected an adjusted profit of $1.90 per share, according to estimates compiled by financial markets data firm Refinitiv.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 30, 2023

  • Scotiabank reports Q4 profit down from year ago, provision for credit losses up

    Tue Nov 28, 5:37AM CST

    TORONTO — Scotiabank reported its fourth-quarter profit fell compared with a year ago as the amount it set aside to cover bad loans more than doubled.

    The bank says its net income totalled nearly $1.39 billion or $1.02 per diluted share for the quarter ended Oct. 31, down from $2.09 billion or $1.63 per diluted share in the same period a year earlier.

    Revenue totalled nearly $8.31 billion, up from nearly $7.63 billion in the same quarter last year.

    The bank says its provision for credit losses for the quarter amounted to nearly $1.26 billion, up from $529 million a year earlier.

    On an adjusted basis, Scotiabank says it earned $1.26 per diluted share in its latest quarter, down from an adjusted profit of $2.06 per diluted share a year earlier.

    Analysts on average had expected an adjusted profit of $1.65 per share, according to financial markets data firm Refinitiv.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published on Nov. 28, 2023.

  • Americans are set to spend a record $12 billion online shopping today

    Matt Egan

    Updated 1:25 PM EST, Mon November 27, 2023

    New YorkCNN — 

    Enticed by deep discounts, Americans are expected to celebrate Cyber Monday by spending a record-setting $12 billion online shopping.

    Black Friday sales were strong –- especially online –- providing the latest evidence of resilient consumer spending in the face of a host of challenges.

    Despite elevated borrowing costs, three years of high inflation and increasing numbers of Americans dipping into their retirement plans, consumers continue to keep the US economy chugging.

    Click Here For Details:

    Record-setting holiday sales hit $12 billion | CNN Business

  • Black Friday shoppers spent a record $9.8 billion in U.S. online sales, up 7.5% from last year

    • Black Friday generated $9.8 billion in U.S. online sales, according to Adobe Analytics, up 7.5% from a year ago.
    • The spending bump reflects consumers looking to advantage of big deal days and finding it easier to compare discounts online.
    • After Cyber Monday, sales will likely taper off through the rest of the holiday season as retailers trim discounts.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/25/black-friday-shoppers-spent-a-record-9point8-billion-in-us-online-sales-up-7point5percent-from-last-year.html