Category: Uncategorized

  • Alphabet misses on earnings as YouTube shrinks; company will cut headcount growth by half in Q4

    Alphabet misses on earnings as YouTube shrinks; company will cut headcount growth by half in Q4

    • Alphabet missed analyst expectations on the top and bottom lines.
    • Revenue at YouTube declined, while analysts were expecting growth of about 3%.
    • Total growth of 6% marked the weakest period of expansion since 2013, other than one period during the pandemic.

    Alphabet shares dropped about 7% in extended trading on Tuesday after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings and revenue for the third quarter and said it would significantly decrease headcount growth.

    • Earnings per share (EPS): $1.06 vs. $1.25 expected, according to Refinitiv estimates.
    • Revenue: $69.09 billion vs. $70.58 billion expected, according to Refinitiv estimates.
    • YouTube advertising revenue: $7.07 billion vs $7.42 billion expected, according to StreetAccount estimates.
    • Google Cloud revenue: $6.9 billion vs $6.69 billion expected, according to StreetAccount estimates
    • Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): $11.83 vs $12.38 expected, according to StreetAccount estimates

    Revenue growth slowed to 6% from 41% a year earlier as the company contends with a continued downdraft in online ad spending. Other than one period early in the pandemic, it’s the weakest period for growth since 2013.

    YouTube ad revenue slid about 2% to $7.07 billion from $7.21 billion a year ago. Analysts were expecting an increase of about 3%. Alphabet reported overall advertising revenue of $54.48 billion during the quarter, up slightly from the prior year.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/25/alphabet-googl-q3-2022-earnings-.html

  • Housing, mortgage sectors brace for more pain as Bank of Canada tees up another big rate hike

    Housing, mortgage sectors brace for more pain as Bank of Canada tees up another big rate hike

    The Bank has already hiked the policy rate by three percentage points over the course of the year, bringing it to 3.25 per cent. This aggressive tightening campaign has raised borrowing costs and taken the steam out of the country’s hottest housing markets as more prospective home buyers sit on the sidelines.   

    Existing home prices in Canada have been declining from the $816,720 peak reached in February and checked in at $640,479 in September, according to data from the Canadian Real Estate Association.

    But September saw the first month-over-month decline in Canada’s new home price index since January 2020.

    Though Bank of Montreal chief economist Douglas Porter acknowledged the 0.1 per cent dip wasn’t a big move, he said the index was nevertheless a barometer that measures home price inflation through “replacement costs.”

    “This is at least one area where the (Bank of Canada’s) aggressive tightening campaign is having a direct impact on headline inflation, with more to come,” Porter warned in an Oct. 25 note.  

    Among homeowners, variable-rate mortgage holders are likely to feel the pinch first, said Royce Mendes, managing director and head of macro strategy at Desjardins. Mendes and macro strategy associate Tiago Figueiredo added that they expect the Bank of Canada to raise rates by 75 basis points this week and deliver one more 25-basis-point hike in December, remaining reluctant to forecast anything higher than that.  

    If the widely anticipated 75-basis-point hike comes down the pipeline on Oct. 26 and pushes the policy rate up to four per cent, Desjardins economists believe that homeowners who took out a variable-rate mortgage between May 2020 and July 2022 could be forced to top up their payments.   

    “Admittedly, variable-rate mortgages represent only about one third of total mortgages outstanding, and we’re talking about a subset of that,” Mendes and Figueiredo said in an Oct. 21 note. “But banks are already sending out letters to clients whose variable-rate mortgages owe more interest than their fixed monthly payment obligation. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg.”  

    These impacts are also rippling through the broader mortgage market with shares of the country’s biggest mortgage providers coming under pressure this year. National Bank of Canada analyst Jaeme Gloyn noted that Home Capital Group’s stock is down 38 per cent this year, Equitable Bank slipped 32 per cent, Timbercreek Financial Corp. fell 22 per cent and First National Financial Corp. is off 16 per cent.  

    Gloyn expects these mortgage stocks to be held down by rising rates for the rest of the year. Housing market risks also remain elevated, Gloyn cautioned, noting that the average price of a low-rise home in the Greater Toronto Area is down seven per cent year over year as of the first week of October.  

    “Overall, we believe Mortgage Land’s relative underperformance will persist in the near term, at least until uncertainty surrounding these risks diminish,” Gloyn said in an Oct. 24 note, adding that the bank was lowering price targets across the board.  

    “What could cause a shift in our view?… We have a keen eye on the employment outlook and central bank positioning. We believe more widespread employment losses will pressure mortgage stocks lower, potentially to crisis trough levels that would offer investors a more attractive entry. A dovish turn from the Federal Reserve and/or Bank of Canada could also cause a change in our currently softer view.”  

  • Federal Infrastructure Bank commits $970-million toward Canada’s first small modular nuclear reactor

    Federal Infrastructure Bank commits $970-million toward Canada’s first small modular nuclear reactor

    The federal government will provide nearly $1-billion in debt financing toward the construction of a commercial small modular reactor (SMR) – which will be a first in Canada and among the first built worldwide.

    The Canada Infrastructure Bank announced Tuesday it will provide a low-interest loan of $970-million for an SMR at Ontario Power Generation’s Darlington Nuclear Generation Station in Clarington, Ont., about 70 kilometres east of Toronto. Infrastructure Bank chief executive Ehren Cory declined to disclose the loan’s interest rate, but characterized it as his organization’s largest-ever investment in clean power.

    Mr. Cory added that the government’s objective was “getting this project launched as quickly as possible, and showing the role that nuclear can play as part of that overall clean solution.” OPG officials said Tuesday the reactor will begin supplying power to Ontario’s grid in 2028.

    Ontario to extend life of Pickering nuclear plant until 2026

    The loan represents by far the federal government’s largest financial commitment since it began promoting SMRs in 2018. Since then, Ottawa has provided tens of millions of dollars in grants to support Canadian-based SMR developers, but those are small sums compared with the billions required to deliver a mature reactor design. The government hopes success at Darlington will spur new SMR projects in Saskatchewan, New Brunswick and Alberta.

    “We are doing this because nuclear energy, as a non-emitting source of energy, is critical to the achievement of Canada’s and the world’s climate goals,” Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson said at an event Tuesday at the Darlington station.

    With outputs of 300 megawatts or less, SMRs are physically smaller than reactors built during the industry’s heyday in the 1970s and 1980s. Darlington’s four reactors were built between 1982 and 1993, and theyeach provide 935 megawatts. Alsowhereastraditional reactors were constructed on-site, most SMRs are intended to be partly fabricated in factories. The industry expects these features will lead to lower construction costs.

    OPG said the Darlington SMR will be built at several facilities across Ontario, including by BWXT Canada Ltd. at its manufacturing facility in Cambridge, Ont. Buildings and containment structures will be fabricated and preassembled off-site, whereas Darlington’s concrete structures were poured on location.

    In December, 2021, OPG announced it had selected GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy as a partner to build a BWRX-300, which is in some respects an updated version of a previous design known as the ESBWR, which was certified by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

    The BWRX-300 is not yet licensed by the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission. Saskatchewan’s SaskPower also selected the BWRX-300 design, but hasn’t yet decided whether to build one.

    Mr. Cory said the Canada Investment Bank views the BWRX-300 as a tested design with a track record of deployments.

    “We had technical advice from our side that said that many of the core elements of it, and the components, were well-tested,” he said. “So we view that technology as acceptable and moderate.”

    According to the World Nuclear Industry Status Report, released by Mycle Schneider Consulting earlier this month, there have been no major advances in SMR technology in recent years. Many previously announced SMRs are either years – and in some cases decades – behind schedule, or have performed poorly.

    What the report did observe was “increasing media attention and some additional public funding commitments.” In February, French president Emmanuel Macron announced US$1.1-billion in funding toward development of an SMR design. The U.S. Department of Energy has announced up to US$5.5-billion in funding for SMRs, in addition to US$1.2-billion it has already spent, although no SMRs have yet been built on American soil.

    M.V. Ramana, a professor at the University of British Columbia’s public policy school, specializes in energy and is a co-author of the World Nuclear Industry Status Report. He said OPG’s timeline is unrealistic, and delays are likely.

    “This particular design is still very preliminary,” he said. “When a design is submitted to a regulator for a safety review, typically the regulators ask questions, and the design starts getting changed … and that means there is no way to have an assessment of how much this reactor would cost.”

    OPG said the Darlington SMR will be cost-competitive with other forms of generation, but did not provide a cost estimate. “We will issue a cost ahead of construction,” said spokesperson Neal Kelly in a written response to questions. “We’re still in the site preparation phase of the project.”

    OPG said it’s taking a “gated approach” to the project, with each phase requiring board approval. Mr. Cory said if OPG decides to abandon the reactor at any stage, the loan’s terms require full repayment. Taxpayers also won’t be on the hook for cost overruns, he added.

    The Canada Investment Bank takes direction from the federal government on what sectors it can invest in, and this time last year, nuclear was not specifically designated as a target for investment.

    “In Budget 2022, the federal government made clear that within our clean power mandate, they wanted to include in that scope the potential for small modular reactors,” Mr. Cory said. “That gave us the authority to go out and source deals.

    “We continue to talk to other jurisdictions who are also pursuing nuclear, so this probably won’t be the last.”

  • General Motors posts big third-quarter earnings beat but holds full-year guidance steady amid ‘headwinds’

    General Motors posts big third-quarter earnings beat but holds full-year guidance steady amid ‘headwinds’

    • General Motors easily beat Wall Street’s earnings expectations during the third quarter, while slightly missing on revenue.
    • The company did not adjust its guidance for the year.
    • GM CEO Mary Barra on Tuesday said the company is “actively managing the headwinds we face.”

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/25/general-motors-gm-earnings-q3-2022.html

  • Wave of LNG tankers is overwhelming Europe in energy crisis and hitting natural gas prices

    Wave of LNG tankers is overwhelming Europe in energy crisis and hitting natural gas prices

    • 60 liquified natural gas vessels are slow sailing or anchored around Northwest Europe, the Mediterranean, and the Iberian Peninsula, according to MarineTraffic.
    • The vessels are considered floating LNG storage since they cannot unload and the situation is impacting the price of natural gas and freight rates.
    • Natural gas is critical for European energy needs into the winter and Russia has reduced its supply of gas as a result of the war in Ukraine, but existing storage capacity is at 93%.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/24/wave-of-lng-tankers-overwhelms-europe-and-hits-natural-gas-prices.html

  • UK’s Rishi Sunak inherits in-tray of anarchy as he takes over as PM of country in crisis

    UK’s Rishi Sunak inherits in-tray of anarchy as he takes over as PM of country in crisis

    • Britain’s new Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is set to take office Tuesday, assuming with it one of the most daunting political in-trays in modern British history.
    • The former finance minister will be tasked with remedying multiple crises, including soaring inflation, higher energy costs, industrial unrest and a battered economy.
    • Sunak has warned that the U.K. faces a “profound economic challenge,” and pledged to instill “stability and unity.”

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/25/rishi-sunak-inherits-challenging-in-tray-as-pm-of-country-in-crisis.html

  • Rishi Sunak closes in on Downing Street after Boris Johnson pulls out of leadership race

    Rishi Sunak closes in on Downing Street after Boris Johnson pulls out of leadership race

    • Former Finance Minister Rishi Sunak looks set to become the next prime minister of the U.K., with votes to be counted Monday afternoon. 
    • Former Defense Minister Penny Mordaunt is his only rival after former Prime Minister Boris Johnson pulled out of the race Sunday.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/24/rishi-sunak-closes-in-on-downing-street-after-boris-johnson-pulls-out.html

  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng down around 6% in mixed Asia trade; Japan’s yen weakens despite reports of intervention

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng down around 6% in mixed Asia trade; Japan’s yen weakens despite reports of intervention

    Hong Kong stocks and mainland China markets fell sharply Monday while other major Asia-Pacific markets rose.

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index spiraled down about 6% to its lowest levels since April 2009, with the Hang Seng Tech index down more than 9%.

    Tai Hui, JPMorgan Asset Management’s APAC chief market strategist, said a combination of factors has been driving the Hong Kong market recently, including higher U.S. Treasury yields.

    Investors may also have expected policy measures to be announced during the Communist Party of China’s 20th National Congress, which closed over the weekend with President Xi Jinping loyalists tapped to form a core leadership group.

    “Since the meeting is mostly about personnel changes, the economic recovery might not come as soon as we have hoped,” Tai told CNBC in an email.

    Mainland China markets briefly entered positive territory on better-than-expected economic data before falling again. The Shanghai Composite in mainland China was 2.02% lower at 2,977.56, and the Shenzhen Component lost 2.055% to 10,694.61.

    In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 was 1.54% higher at 6,779.40. The Kospi in South Korea gained 1.04% to 2,236.16, and the Kosdaq added 2.08% to 688.50.

    Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 0.31% to 26,974.90 and the Topix was up 0.28% to 1,887.19. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was 1.61% lower.

    Authorities in Japan reportedly intervened in the forex market on Friday, causing the yen to strengthen sharply. But the currency continued to seesaw. On Monday in Asia, the currency briefly strengthened to 145-levels but was last at 149.09 per dollar.

    Japanese yen’s wild ride

    U.S. stocks soared on Friday following a Wall Street Journal report that some Fed officials are concerned about tightening policy too much. On Friday in the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 748.97 points, or 2.47%, to close at 31,082.56. The S&P 500 added 2.37% to 3,752.75. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.31% to 10,859.72.

    Singapore, Malaysia and India’s markets are closed for a holiday Monday. Later this week, the Bank of Japan will meet, while Singapore and Australia are expected to release inflation data.

    TICKER COMPANY NAME PRICE CHANGE %CHANGE 
    .N225Nikkei 225 Index*NIKKEI26974.984.320.31
    .HSIHang Seng Index*HSI15199.39-1011.73-6.24
    .AXJOS&P/ASX 200*ASX 2006779.4102.61.54
    .SSECShanghai*SHANGHAI2977.56-61.37-2.02
    .KS11KOSPI Index*KOSPI2236.1623.041.04
    .FTFCNBCACNBC 100 ASIA IDX*CNBC 1006647.37-79.53-1.18

    55 MIN AGO

    Currency check: Japan’s yen back above 149 per dollar

    The U.S. dollar strengthened around 1% against the Japanese yen to 149.20 in Asia’s afternoon after a wild ride for the currency pair.

    Authorities in Japan reportedly intervened in the market on Friday, causing the yen to sharply strengthen before weakening again. On Monday morning in Asia, the yen briefly popped to 145-levels.

    “The sharp and sudden drop prompted market speculation the Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervened again on Monday following Friday’s intervention,” according to a Commonwealth Bank of Australia note.

    The yen then weakened throughout the session before crossing the 149 mark again in the afternoon.

    “In line with the usual pattern, we expect the intervention‑induced losses in USD/JPY to be unwound within a few weeks,” the CBA note said.

  • China Q3 GDP growth rebounds at faster pace but risks loom

    China Q3 GDP growth rebounds at faster pace but risks loom

    China’s economy rebounded at a faster-than-expected pace in the third quarter, but strict COVID curbs, a deepening property crisis and global recession risks are challenging Beijing’s efforts to foster a robust revival over the next year.

    Gross domestic product (GDP) in the world’s second-biggest economy rose 3.9% in the July-September quarter year-on-year, official data showed on Monday, above the 3.4% pace forecast in a Reuters poll of analysts, and quickening from the 0.4% pace in the second quarter.

    The data was originally scheduled for release on Oct. 18 but was delayed amid a key Communist Party Congress last week, which ended with Xi Jinping securing a precedent-breaking third term as its leader.

    “The Chinese economy has great resilience, potential and latitude,” Xi told reporters on Sunday as he unveiled the top leadership team of the Communist Party for the next five years.

    “Its strong fundamentals will not change, and it will remain on a positive trajectory over the long run.”

    The economy was buoyed by the manufacturing sector, with separate data showing industrial output in September rose 6.3% from a year earlier, beating expectations for a 4.5% gain and 4.2% in August.

    Chinese stocks tumbled on Monday and the yuan weakened as investors focused on the country’s new governing body membership, which was stacked with loyalist to Xi, heightening fears he will double down on ideology-driven policies at the cost of economic growth.

    Despite the rebound, the economy faces challenges on multiple fronts at home and abroad. China’s zero-COVID strategy and strife in its key property sector have exacerbated the external pressure from the Ukraine crisis and a global slowdown due to interest rate hikes to curb red-hot inflation.

    A Reuters poll forecast China’s growth to slow to 3.2% in 2022, far below the official target of around 5.5%, marking one of the worst performances in almost half a century.

    TRADE PAIN

    In signs of continued strain, exports grew 5.7% from a year earlier in September, beating expectations but coming in at the slowest pace since April. Imports rose a feeble 0.3%, undershooting estimates for 1.0% growth.

    Retail sales grew 2.5%, missing forecasts for a 3.3% increase and easing from August’s 5.4% pace, underlining still fragile domestic demand.

    The surveyed urban jobless rate nudged up to 5.5% in September, the highest since June, with the unemployment rate for job seekers between the ages of 16 and 24 at 17.9%.

    More crucially, month-on-month new homes prices fell for the second straight month in September, reflecting the continued homebuyer aversion in the economically vital sector as indebted developers raced to pool resources and deliver projects on time.

    Policymakers had rolled out over 50 economic support measures since late May, seeking to bolster the economy to ease job pressures, even through they have played down the importance of hitting the growth target, which was set in March.

    New bank lending in China nearly doubled in September from the previous month and far exceeded expectations, thanks to central bank efforts to revive the economy.

    “On the policy front, the overall policy will remain supportive,” said Hao Zhou, chief economist at Guotai Junan International.

    “In our view, further policy impetus is required to buoy economic recovery, but additional interest rate cuts are unlikely during a period of aggressive global central bank rate hikes.”