Intel forecast crushes estimates as AI boom boosts chip demand; shares jump

Intel INTC-Q -2.33%decrease forecast quarterly profit and revenue above estimates on Thursday, anticipating strong demand for its server central processing unit (CPU) chips as the artificial intelligence boom fuels a computing infrastructure buildout. Shares jumped 8 per cent in post market trading.

The company expects third-quarter revenue between US$15.8-billion and US$16.8-billion, compared with analysts’ average estimate of US$15.10-billion, according to data compiled by LSEG. Adjusted profit is expected to be 38 US cents a share, compared with analyst estimates of 27 US cents.

Intel is benefitting from a boom in what is known as agentic AI, where autonomous agents carry out tasks such as computer coding on behalf of human users. Its shares have declined more than 25 per cent from a record close on June 22 amid a broader sell-off in chip stocks, though shares remain up more than 170 per cent for the year.

For the second quarter ended June 27, Intel said sales rose 25.4 per cent to US$16.13-billion and adjusted profit was 42 US cents a share, compared with estimates of US$14.42-billion and 21 US cents a share. Adjusted gross margin came in at 41.8 per cent, compared with estimates of 38.8 per cent.

The shift toward AI agents has driven a resurgence of demand for data-centre CPUs, with Intel’s leaders saying earlier this year that it caught them off guard, with demand outstripping the company’s ability to manufacture the CPU chips. In an interview, chief financial officer David Zinsner told Reuters that booming demand has prompted Intel to raise its capital expenditure forecast for this year from US$18-billion to US$20-billion. Mr. Zinsner also said Intel expects capital expenditures to be “up meaningfully next year” as well.

“That’s signalling the confidence around the growth opportunities for the business,” Mr. Zinsner said.

He also said that Intel has signed a range of long-term agreements with customers for data-centre CPUs and specialized chips called XPUs. He said the agreements range from three to five years and that some contain both chip volume and price commitments and some contain only volume commitments. But Mr. Zinsner also said Intel would remain disciplined about spending.

“You can’t completely hang your hat on [long-term agreements] because when things change, a lot of times things get renegotiated,” he said.

However, “they’re not signing those unless they have real confidence around what they’re going to invest.” He added: “It gives us a pretty good confidence around what we should be planning in terms of output.”

Mr. Zinsner said Intel has about US$30-billion in cash and a US$10-billion line of credit but that a share sale, while currently not authorized, is not out of the question.

“I wouldn’t miss the possibility that we would do that. But no specific plans at this point,” he said.

Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan has been leading a turnaround at Santa Clara, Calif.-based Intel, which fell behind as Nvidia’s graphics processors dominated the first phase of the AI boom.

A key part of Intel’s revival strategy is its contract manufacturing, or foundry business. The unit secured Elon Musk’s Tesla as a customer for its next-generation 14A process for the “Terafab” AI chip project, bolstering confidence in Intel’s efforts to land major buyers.

Expectations of another high-profile win rose in April after U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Apple had agreed to make processors with Intel. Neither company has confirmed the deal.

Nvidia, which dominates the AI accelerator market, is also making a rare move into the CPU space with its “Vera” processor, while Big Tech firms such as Amazon and Alphabet continue to develop their own in-house, Arm-based CPUs.

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