Summary
- TTTK is an index, not a stock: the S&P/TSX Capped Information Technology Index.
- For the week ending August 7, 2026, the index gained approximately 8.8%, based on its closely tracking XIT ETF.
- Shopify’s 28.7% earnings-driven surge accounted for most of the sector’s increase.
- Kinaxis gained 3.2% following strong Q2 recurring-revenue growth and higher guidance.
- CGI rose 1.7%, supported by earnings growth, but its modest organic revenue growth limited the increase.
TTTK Weekly Performance
The iShares XIT ETF, which tracks TTTK, moved from C$73.31 on July 31 to C$79.79 on August 7.
| Measure | Performance |
|---|---|
| TTTK/XIT weekly change | Approximately +8.8% |
| TSX Composite weekly change | +3.3% |
| Relative outperformance | Approximately 5.5 percentage points |
Technology substantially outperformed the broader Canadian market.
Why TTTK Increased
TTTK is highly concentrated. Its four largest companies represent more than 80% of the index.
| Company | Approx. July 31 weight | Weekly return |
|---|---|---|
| Shopify | 27.1% | +28.7% |
| Constellation Software | 23.8% | Not the primary weekly catalyst |
| Celestica | 22.8% | Secondary contributor |
| CGI | 9.7% | +1.7% |
| Kinaxis | 2.3% | +3.2% |
Using the July 31 weights, Shopify alone contributed roughly: 27.1%×28.7%≈7.8 percentage points
Therefore, Shopify generated close to 90% of TTTK’s estimated 8.8% weekly gain. This also increased Shopify’s weight to approximately 30% by the end of the week.
Brief Company Comparison
| Company | July 31 close | August 7 close | Weekly change | Main catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shopify | C$164.18 | C$211.37 | +28.7% | Major earnings beat and strong Q3 guidance |
| Kinaxis | C$168.00 | C$173.43 | +3.2% | SaaS and ARR growth; guidance raised |
| CGI | C$102.61 | C$104.38 | +1.7% | Strong EPS growth but modest revenue growth |
Shopify: +28.7%
Shopify reported:
- Revenue of US$3.58 billion, up 34%;
- gross merchandise volume of US$115.57 billion, up 32%;
- adjusted EPS of US$0.42, above expectations;
- an 18% free-cash-flow margin; and
- Q3 revenue guidance in the low-30% growth range.
The guidance was well above the market’s prior expectation of approximately 27%. The results also reduced concerns that generative AI could weaken Shopify’s position. Management instead demonstrated that AI tools and partnerships are increasing merchant engagement.
Interpretation: strongest growth, but also the highest short-term valuation and volatility risk after a nearly 29% weekly increase.
Kinaxis: +3.2%
Kinaxis reported:
- Total revenue growth of 16%;
- SaaS revenue growth of 20%;
- annual recurring revenue growth of 19%, or 21% in constant currency;
- adjusted EBITDA growth of 23%; and
- a 130-basis-point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin.
Management increased its full-year total-revenue and SaaS-growth guidance.
Interpretation: healthy recurring growth and improving margins, but its 2.3% index weight meant the gain had little influence on TTTK.
CGI: +1.7%
CGI’s latest results included:
- Revenue growth of 2.5%, or 1.3% in constant currency;
- net earnings growth of 13.8%; and
- diluted EPS growth of 22.5%.
CGI’s earnings benefited from margin control and a lower share count, while underlying organic revenue growth remained modest.
Interpretation: more stable and less expensive than high-growth software companies, but with a slower top-line growth profile.
Key Risks
- Concentration: Shopify, Constellation Software and Celestica represent approximately three-quarters of TTTK.
- Shopify reversal: A 10% decline in Shopify could reduce TTTK by approximately three percentage points at its current weight.
- Valuation: XIT reported a portfolio P/E of approximately 47 times, indicating considerable growth expectations.
- Earnings sensitivity: After the weekly increase, disappointing guidance from any major constituent could produce a sharp index correction.
Short-Term Scenarios
| Scenario | Requirement | TTTK implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bull | Shopify holds its earnings gain and other major constituents strengthen | Continued upward momentum |
| Base | Shopify consolidates while CGI and Kinaxis remain stable | Sideways movement after the surge |
| Bear | Profit-taking in Shopify or weaker software valuations | Partial reversal of the weekly gain |
The positive short-term thesis would be disproved by Shopify surrendering a substantial portion of its earnings-day gain on heavy volume.
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