Category: Uncategorized

  • Couche-Tard pulls bid for Japan’s Seven & i, accusing 7-Eleven owner of failing to engage

    Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. ATD-T +0.32%increase has abandoned its roughly US$46-billion effort to take over 7-Eleven parent Seven & i Holdings Co. SVNDY +0.95%increase, blasting its Japanese rival for failing to engage in meaningful talks toward a potential deal.

    Laval, Que.-based Couche-Tard’s move puts an end to its nearly year-long effort to pursue Seven & i, bringing finality to a situation that has dragged down the Canadian company’s stock price. The Japanese company had been frosty to the proposal from the start, raising further questions about whether Japanese corporations remain as closed to mergers and acquisitions deal-making as they have been historically.

    “There has been no sincere or constructive engagement from 7&i that would facilitate the advancement of any proposal, contrary to comments made by 7&i representatives” as recently as this month, Couche-Tard chair Alain Bouchard and chief executive Alex Miller said in a note to the Japanese company’s board released late Wednesday.

    “Rather, you have engaged in a calculated campaign of obfuscation and delay, to the great detriment of 7&i and its shareholders. We believe this approach reinforces our concerns about your approach to governance.”

    The pulled bid is a big blow for Mr. Bouchard, who has twice previously eyed a purchase of his largest competitor and harboured ambitions to create one of the world’s biggest retailers. But it will be a relief for Couche-Tard shareholders, with a probable jump in its shares on Thursday.

    “Investors have symptoms of deal fatigue,” Stifel analyst Martin Landry had said before Wednesday’s news.

    Couche-Tard’s all-cash offer was worth 2,600 yen per share, a 47.6 per cent premium to the date its interest became public. Seven & i shareholders will now be left hoping management can deliver something of equal or greater value. As part of their standalone strategy, Seven is selling its underperforming supermarkets and plans to list a portion of its U.S. retail operation to fund a massive stock buyback.

    Couche-Tard, which controls the retail banner Circle K, struck a nondisclosure agreement with Seven & i in April, a crucial step. But in a sign things were not moving along as expected, Mr. Miller was cagey when asked last month about the likelihood of a deal and whether his Japanese counterparts were truly responsive.

    In Wednesday’s letter, the Couche-Tard executives pulled back the curtain on what was happening behind the scenes.

    They said they repeatedly sought to speak to Seven & i’s founding Ito family, a major shareholder in the company, but that they have not been open to any conversation. They described one management meeting with Seven & i in Japan as “tightly scripted” and said their Japanese counterparts were not willing to answer basic queries about industry dynamics. They also said that after 10 weeks of diligence, just 14 total files relating to Seven & i’s U.S. business were provided, while “none of our critical questions” were answered.

    “As we have expressed many times, we do believe that fully combining our two companies is the most straightforward and effective way to maximize value to all stakeholders,” the Couche-Tard executives said in the letter.

    “We believe this combination has the ability to enhance that path. However, we are not able to effectively pursue this combination without deeper and genuine further engagement from 7&i leadership and the special committee.”

    Seven & i confirmed that Alimentation Couche-Tard “unilaterally decided to end discussions” and withdraw its proposal. It denied it acted improperly.

    “While we are disappointed by ACT’s decision, and disagree with their numerous mischaracterizations, we are not surprised,” the Japanese retailer said in a statement posted on its web, adding that there have been significant changes in the global economy, exchange rates and financing markets since Couche-Tard made its first proposal.

    Seven & I’s special committee “consistently engaged in good faith and constructively with ACT to explore the possibility of reaching a deal,” the Japanese company said. “At the same time, we were always honest about the extraordinary antitrust hurdles a potential transaction would face.”

    Why this money manager is buying Nestle, Dollarama and selling Couche-Tard

    It would have been a monster merger, combining the two biggest convenience-store players in the United States at a time the industry is facing mounting pressure from other retail rivals and consumers are closely watching their spending. The sector remains highly fragmented in that country, with the top 10 chains making up only 19 per cent of the total number of stores.

    Couche-Tard leaders revealed in the letter that they proposed alternatives to a takeover of Seven & i in its entirety, including buying the company’s international business outside of Japan or taking a 40-per-cent minority stake in the Japanese business. That would have been a way for the Canadian company to learn more about the Asia market, one of its priorities.

    They said Seven & i proposed another option, offering its international business to Couche-Tard in return for equity ownership in the Canadian company’s shares. That offer was rejected by Couche-Tard as undermining the “operational prospects of the combined business.”

    Japan has long been seen as resistant to foreign takeovers. 7-Eleven’s status as a beloved institution and part of daily life in Japan made Couche-Tard’s bid to win over the company’s stakeholders all the more challenging.

    Japan’s government in 2023 issued new guidelines to the corporate sector in an effort to loosen cultural barriers to foreign investment. But Couche-Tard’s move to throw in the towel on its 7-Eleven vision after extensive overtures suggests the government’s message did little to open doors to foreign interests.

    The sheer size of the potential takeover had scared some Couche-Tard investors, who have expressed concerns about equity dilution if a big sale of shares is needed to fund the deal. The shares are down 20 per cent from their 52-week high.

    At the moment, the key issue for Couche-Tard is that the company is “not delivering growth that investors have become accustomed to, it is not repurchasing shares, and there is an equity issuance overhang,” National Bank of Canada analyst Vishal Shreedhar said in a June 4 research note.

    “We anticipate these issues to resolve over the near term.”

  • China Exports Growth Tops Expectations; Imports Rebound

    China’s exports grew more than expected in June on de-escalating trade tension with the US and imports rebounded for the first time this year, signalling a positive contribution from net trade to economic growth in the second quarter, official data revealed Monday.

    Exports increased 5.8 percent year-on-year in June, the General Administration of Customs reported. This was stronger than the 4.8 percent increase in May and economists’ forecast of 5.0 percent.

    Imports rebounded 1.1 percent from a year ago, following prior month’s 3.4 percent decline. Imports were expected to grow 1.3 percent.

    Consequently, the trade surplus rose to $114.7 billion from $103.2 billion in May. The surplus was forecast to remain broadly unchanged at $103.2 billion.

    Due to de-escalation of tariff tensions in May, exports to the US declined at a slower pace in June. Exports to the US fell 16.1 percent but much slower than the 34.5 percent drop seen in May.

    In response to the new tariff threats of the US administration, Chinese exporters diversified their shipments to other Asian economies and the EU. Recently, there was a surge in ASEAN imports from China suggesting that supply chains are deeply intertwined.

    In the first half of the year, China’s exports advanced 5.9 percent, while imports declined 3.9 percent. As a result, the trade surplus surged to $585.9 billion.

    Last week, US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imports from most Asian economies with effect from August 1. Further, Trump said goods transshipped to evade higher tariff will be subject to that higher tariffs.

    The US imposed a 20 percent duty on goods from Vietnam and a sharper 40 percent tariff on goods transshipped from China through Vietnam.

    In May, Washington and Beijing reached an agreement to suspend a majority of tariffs for 90 days and also to roll back certain restrictive measures. The deadline for China to reach a trade deal ends on August 12.

    China is scheduled to release its second quarter GDP data on July 15. Beijing aims to achieve around 5 percent economic growth this year.

    ING economist Lynn Song said China benefited from a wave of trade frontloading in the first half of the year. Even a low single-digit annual growth for exports will translate to a smaller drag on 2025 growth than what the market feared at the start of the year, the economist noted.

  • China GDP Jumps 1.1% On Quarter In Q2

    China’s gross domestic product expanded a seasonally adjusted 1.1 percent on quarter in the second quarter of 2025, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday – beating forecasts for an increase of 0.9 percent after adding 1.2 percent in the three months prior.

    On an annualized basis, GDP was up 5.2 percent – again topping expectations for 5.0 percent after rising 5.4 percent in the previous quarter.

    The bureau also said that industrial production jumped 6.8 percent in June, topping forecasts for 5.6 percent and up from 5.8 percent in May.

    Retail sales rose 4.8 percent on year in June, shy of forecasts for 5.2 percent and down from 6.4 percent in the previous month.

    Fixed asset investment was up an annual 2.8 percent in June, missing expectations for 3.6 percent and down from 3.7 percent a month earlier.

    The jobless rate was 5.0 percent – unchanged and as expected.

    House prices were down 3.2 percent on year in June after slumping 3.5 percent in May.

  • TSX hits record high on boost from tech shares

    Canada’s main stock index rose on Monday to a record high, with shares of technology companies leading broad-based gains as investors focused on upcoming corporate earnings rather than the latest U.S. tariff threats.

    The S&P/TSX composite index ended up 175.60 points, or 0.7 per cent, at 27,198.85, eclipsing Thursday’s record closing high.

    The European Union accused the U.S. of resisting efforts to strike a trade deal and warned of countermeasures if no agreement is reached to avoid the punishing tariffs President Donald Trump has threatened to impose starting August 1.

    Investors have accepted that there will be some level of U.S. tariffs but expect the duties will not be as severe as proposed, said Sadiq Adatia, chief investment officer, BMO Asset Management.

    “The market is just going to back to pure fundamentals of what’s going on globally and particularly what’s going on in the U.S., where the economy is still moving in the right direction,” Adatia said. “Employment seems to be okay, we’re getting into earnings season with a lot of optimism potentially popping through and there’s still probability-wise rate cuts that are expected to happen soon.”

    Wall Street’s banking heavyweights are set to report on Tuesday, kicking off second-quarter earnings season.

    Canadian consumer price index data for June is also due on Tuesday, which could guide expectations for the Bank of Canada interest rate decision at the end of the month.

    Shares of Thomson Reuters Corp jumped 7.7 per cent to hit a record high, with analysts pointing to potential inclusion of the company in the Nasdaq 100 index.

    The industrials sector was up 0.9 per cent and technology added 1.9 per cent, helped by a gain of 4.3 per cent for e-commerce company Shopify Inc.

    Consumer staples rose 0.7 per cent and real estate ended 0.8 per cent higher.

    Of 10 major sectors only energy ended lower. It lost 0.2 per cent as the price of oil fell 2.3 per cent to $66.91 a barrel.

    Meanwhile, Wall Street stocks closed marginally up on Monday as investors sidestepped any meaningful moves following U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats, and held steady ahead of a busy week of economic data and the start of earnings season.

    Trump ramped up trade tensions over the weekend, vowing to slap a 30 per cent tariff on most imports from the European Union and Mexico starting August 1 – leaving the clock ticking for last-minute trade deals.

    The EU extended its pause on retaliatory measures until early August, holding out hope for a negotiated truce. The White House said talks with the EU, Canada and Mexico are still underway.

    Despite the headlines, investor reaction was muted, having grown numb to Trump’s barrage of tariff threats and his frequent last-minute U-turns.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 88.14 points, or 0.20 per cent, to 44,459.65, the S&P 500 gained 8.81 points, or 0.14 per cent, at 6,268.56 and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 54.80 points, or 0.27 per cent, to 20,640.33.

    Trading volume was also subdued, with 15.43 billion shares changing hands, compared with the 17.62 billion average for the last 20 trading days.

    Markets have been buoyant in recent weeks even as Trump has rattled his tariff saber.

    The Nasdaq Composite ended at a record high, its seventh such achievement since June 27. The S&P 500, which finished a dozen points below last Thursday’s best ever close, has had five records in the same timeframe.

    “If anything is holding the market back, it’s the fact we’ve had a pretty good run since April,” said Jason Pride, chief of investment strategy & research at Glenmede.

    He noted that despite initial fears that Trump’s tariff policy would hurt the U.S. economy, the levies unveiled so far and the passage of his signature economic legislation last week will broadly offset each other, meaning investors are starting to be more confident about the economy’s growth prospects.

    Signs of how Trump’s policies are playing out will come this week, with a raft of new reports on the state of the U.S. economy due up.

    Tuesday is also the scheduled release of the latest consumer price data, which is expected to reveal an inflation uptick in June as sellers started passing on the cost of sweeping tariffs.

    Wednesday’s producer and import price reports will offer fresh insight into how supply chain pressures are shaping up.

    One place where Trump’s tariff rhetoric still moved markets was crude prices, with U.S. benchmark oil dropping 2.2 per cent after he threatened levies on buyers of Russian exports, which may have knock-on effects on global energy supplies.

    A majority of the sectors closed in positive territory though, led by the 0.7 per cent advance by communication services . It was helped by gains in Netflix, which reports earnings on Thursday, and Warner Bros. Discovery , whose latest Superman caper had a strong opening weekend at the box office.

    Crypto stocks ticked up after Bitcoin topped $120,000 for the first time. Coinbase rose 1.8 per cent, and MicroStrategy gained 3.8 per cent.

    Waters Corp dropped 13.8 per cent after the lab equipment maker agreed to merge with rival Becton, Dickinson and Company’s Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions unit in a $17.5 billion deal.

    – Reuters

  • Canada’s trade deficit narrows in May, exports to U.S. decrease for fourth straight month

    Canada’s trade deficit with the world narrowed in May from a record high the previous month, as tariffs continued to weigh on exports to the United States.

    Statistics Canada reported on Thursday that the country’s trade deficit, which reflects the difference between its exports and imports, fell to $5.9-billion from $7.6-billion.

    Exports to the United States slipped for a fourth consecutive month, decreasing by 0.9 per cent, as the White House targets some sectors of the Canadian economy with punishing tariffs.

    This includes levies on steel, aluminum and automobiles, as well as on all goods that don’t comply with the continental free-trade agreement’s rules of origin. Last month, Mr. Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50 per cent.

    U.S. tariffs are already slowing down the Canadian economy and forecasters expect it shrank in the second quarter.

    The federal agency noted that the share of exports destined for the U.S. was 68.3 per cent in May, one of the lowest proportions on record. (The monthly average in 2024 was 75.9 per cent.)

    The impact of the trade spat is particularly apparent in the automotive sector, where tariffs are slowing down trade in both directions.

    Imports of motor vehicles and parts fell by 5.3 per cent, following an even sharper decline in April.

    Imports of passenger vehicles and light trucks decreased to their lowest level in two years, falling by 9.7 per cent in May, as Canada implemented reciprocal auto tariffs on the U.S.

    Meanwhile, exports to countries other than the U.S. continued to rise last month, increasing by 5.7 per cent and reaching a record high.

    A sharp rise in gold exports drove up total exports to the world by 1.1 per cent, while imports fell by 1.6 per cent, marking the third consecutive decrease.

    Prime Minister Mark Carney is trying to negotiate an economic and security agreement with the United States by July 21, in hopes of securing a break from tariffs for Canadian businesses.

    U.S. President Donald Trump broke off talks last week over Canada’s implementation of a digital services tax targeting tech giants like Google and Netflix. However, talks have since resumed after Mr. Carney announced that the federal government would rescind the tax.

  • U.S. payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, more than expected

    • Nonfarm payrolls increased a seasonally adjusted 147,000 for the month, higher than the estimate for 110,000 and just above the upwardly revised 144,000 in May.
    • Market pricing shifted strongly following the payrolls report, with traders all but taking the chance of a July rate cut off the table.
    • Government employment posted a large gain, leading all categories with an increase of 73,000 due to solid boosts in state and local hiring.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/03/jobs-report-june-2025.html

  • What is Canada’s digital services tax and why is it infuriating Trump? 

    U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly cut off all trade negotiations with Canada on Friday, citing Ottawa’s Digital Services Tax (DST) for the decision. The tax, enacted last June, targets U.S. technology companies that operate in Canada but pay little tax here. Under the new tax regime, the first payments are set to be collected on Monday, June 30. The Financial Post breaks down what you need to know about the DST and why it is infuriating Trump and Americans.

    https://financialpost.com/technology/canada-digital-services-tax-infuriating-donald-trump

    Will Canada maintain it?

    For months, executives of U.S. tech giants have pressured American policymakers over Canada’s DST. Ontario Premier Doug Ford and Canadian business groups have also pressed the Carney government to abandon the DST. And while businesses and industry groups were holding out for a last-minute suspension of the DST, finance minister François-Philippe Champagne reconfirmed last Thursday that Canada is “going ahead” with the tax. “The (DST) is in force and it’s going to be applied,” he said. Parliament Hill’s firm stance on maintaining the DST comes despite a recent Group of Seven (G7) agreement that succeeded in axing the Section 899 “revenge tax” provision from Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” that would have taken aim at businesses from countries that the U.S. views as unjustly targeting American firms. Ottawa hasn’t ruled out shutting down DST discussions completely. “Obviously, all of that is something that we’re considering as part of broader discussions that you may have,” Champagne said last week, suggesting that the DST could be renegotiated given the ongoing trade talks between Canada and the U.S.