Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.TO)

Summary — ATD.TO 10D Performance

• ATD.TO closed at C$82.37 on June 19, 2026, down C$0.07 / -0.08% on the day.
• Over the 10-trading-day window from June 5 close to June 19 close, ATD moved from C$82.60 to C$82.37.
• 10D performance: -C$0.23 / -0.28%.
• The stock rose early in the period, reaching C$84.35 on June 11, then faded to C$82.37 by June 19.
• Main short-term issue: consolidation ahead of Q4/FY2026 results, scheduled for June 22, 2026 after TSX close.

Data & Evidence

Date	Close	Daily Move
Jun 5	C$82.60	+2.24%
Jun 8	C$81.61	-1.20%
Jun 9	C$82.33	+0.88%
Jun 10	C$83.43	+1.34%
Jun 11	C$84.35	+1.10%
Jun 12	C$84.31	-0.05%
Jun 15	C$84.24	-0.08%
Jun 16	C$83.46	-0.93%
Jun 17	C$83.62	+0.19%
Jun 18	C$82.44	-1.41%
Jun 19	C$82.37	-0.08%

Source: Fund Library pricing history.

Calculation:
C$82.37 ÷ C$82.60 − 1 = -0.28%

Key Drivers

1. Short-term consolidation after early strength

ATD gained from C$82.60 on June 5 to C$84.35 on June 11, a rise of about +2.1%, but then gave back the move into June 19. That suggests the 10D performance was flat-to-slightly negative, not a sustained breakout.

2. Earnings event risk

Couche-Tard is scheduled to release Q4 and fiscal 2026 results on June 22, 2026 after market close, with the conference call on June 23. That likely kept investors cautious into the reporting date.

3. TTCS impact

ATD.TO is a major consumer staples / convenience retail name, so its flat-to-negative 10D move likely contributed to the muted TTCS performance. Unlike Dollarama, ATD belongs in the TTCS discussion.

Valuation / Positioning

Metric	Value
Latest close	C$82.37
52-week low	C$66.93
52-week high	C$85.59
Market cap	~C$75.7B
EPS	C$3.95
Approx. P/E	~20.9x
Annual dividend	C$0.82
Yield	~1.0%

Source: Fund Library / QuoteMedia data.

Scenarios — Next 1–3 Months

Scenario	Price Bias	What Drives It
Bull	C$85–88	Strong Q4 results, stable fuel margins, better same-store sales, positive FY2027 outlook
Base	C$80–85	Stock stays range-bound after results; business quality supported but valuation limits upside
Bear	C$75–80	Weak fuel volumes, margin pressure, soft convenience-store traffic, cautious guidance

Actionable Takeaways

• 10D trend: essentially flat, -0.28%.
• Resistance: C$84.30–85.60.
• Support: C$81.60–82.00, then C$79–80.
• Key catalyst: June 22 earnings release.
• Thesis breaker: a post-earnings move below C$80 would suggest the recent recovery is failing.