Author: Consultant

  • Cargojet earns $29.7 million in third quarter, revenues also rise

    Cargojet Inc. says it earned $29.7 million in the third quarter, almost triple the $10.5 million it earned a year earlier.

    The Mississauga-based air freight and plane leasing company says its revenues totalled $245.6 million, up 14.8 per cent from $214.0 million during the same quarter in 2023.

    Diluted earnings per share were $1.78, up from 61 cents a year earlier.

    Co-chief executive officer Jamie Porteous said the company benefitted from interest rate cuts and cooling inflation.

    Porteous said these factors are helping foster a more stable and optimistic economic outlook for Canada.

    However, he added that geopolitical uncertainty is affecting the entire transportation industry and that Cargojet is not immune to significant cost increases facing aviation companies and supply chains.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 4, 2024.

  • Canadian auto sales up 8.8% in October, nearly matching 2019 levels

    DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc. says vehicle sales in October were up 8.8 per cent from the same month last year.

    The firm estimates 162,000 units were sold in October as there were two extra selling days compared with the same month last year.

    DesRosiers says last month’s sales just about matched October 2019 sales numbers.

    Sales were also higher than 2022 numbers when the auto industry suffered supply chain issues.

    Andrew King, managing partner at DesRosiers, says the auto market was fairly strong in October with only a couple of volume players seeing a sales decline for the month.

    DesRosiers says the auto market is on track to hit an annual total of 1.8 million vehicles for the first time since 2019.

  • BCE paying $5-billion for U.S. internet provider Ziply, pauses dividend hikes to help fix balance sheet

    Bell Canada parent BCE Inc. BCE-T -9.91%decrease is expanding into the United States by acquiring internet provider Ziply Fiber for $5-billion, while also putting dividend hikes on hold in order to help fix its balance sheet.

    With the acquisition, announced Monday, Canada’s largest telecommunications company will operate in four U.S. states in the Pacific Northwest – Washington, Oregon, Montana and Idaho – and provide fiber internet services to 1.3 million residential and business locations. BCE hopes to upgrade more of Ziply’s copper wire network to faster fiber over the next four years, bringing its total fiber connections to three million.

    BCE chief executive officer Mirko Bibic said in an interview that the acquisition shows the company is on its “front foot.” But the deal is also a gamble, considering investors have worried about BCE’s ability to afford its dividend and pay down debt. Because there is so much financial uncertainty, BCE’s shares have lost 10.8 per cent, including dividends, over the last year, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index has delivered a 25.7-per-cent total return.

    Ziply is currently owned by a group of private equity funds led by Searchlight Capital, and to fund its purchase, Montreal-based BCE will use $4.2-billion of cash generated from the sale of its 37.5-per-cent stake in Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment, the owner of Toronto’s professional hockey, basketball, soccer and football teams. In doing so, BCE is swapping an asset it treated as an equity investment – which meant MLSE’s cash flows did not flow through to BCE’s bottom line – for an operating business whose revenues and profits will merge with BCE’s.

    The integration matters because investors tend to judge the riskiness of a company’s debt load by comparing it to annual cash flows: “This is a great trade, in sports terms,” Mr. Bibic said.

    However, many investors and analysts expected BCE to put a good chunk of its MLSE proceeds toward debt repayment considering BCE’s debt rating was downgraded by two different rating agencies this summer. Although Ziply generates cash flow, it is currently owned by private equity backers – including three Canadian pension funds – and they have put $2-billion of net debt on its balance sheet.

    In all, BCE’s total debt level will remain roughly where it is now.

    To show fiscal restraint, BCE will not hike its dividend in 2025, marking a significant change for the telecom giant. BCE has raised its dividend annually for the past 16 years, and this track record has won over yield-seeking investors, including retail buyers who are nearing retirement or are in retirement.

    The pause on dividend hikes is also an about-face from Mr. Bibic, who has said BCE could still increase dividends, just at a slower rate than normal.

    The CEO said in the interview that the institutional investor community likely will not be surprised by the pause. BCE’s dividend yield is currently 8.9 per cent, and a number of investors and analysts had suggested that such a pause – or even a cut – was necessary.

    The share prices of Canada’s three-largest telcos – BCE, Rogers Communications Inc. and Telus Corp. – have all struggled of late. After years of easy wins, the companies find themselves in a new era of tepid growth driven by lower immigration levels, aggressive discounting for cable and internet services and cord-cutting.

    Until recently, the telcos could count on rising immigration to drive revenue growth – in 2023, the Canadian population increased by nearly 1.3 million people – but Ottawa has since changed course, and sales to newcomers won’t be as robust.

    Aggressive discounts have also upended the market, particularly for wireless services. Typically, the telcos only compete with heavy discounts during certain times of the year, such as back-to-school or around Black Friday. But the discounting driven by smaller rivals such as Freedom Mobile has been persistent for more than a year, and it is putting sustained pressure on revenues.

    As for cord-cutting, or the act of Canadians cancelling their cable television services, the trend has plagued the sector for years. But lately, it’s hit with more intensity, as streaming services capture additional market share.

    Each telco also has its own unique challenges. In BCE’s case, the company has bet heavily on its fibre buildout. Under Mr. Bibic’s watch, BCE has borrowed heavily to upgrade its fibre networks – total debt now sits at $39-billion – with the expectation that customers will eventually pay more for faster speeds.

    However, the build out has taken years, and the aggressive discounting is making it harder to recoup these investments.

    At the same time, some analysts recently discovered that BCE’s dividend was arguably more costly than expected. Once certain costs are factored in, the telco has been paying out more than 140 per cent of its free cash flow each year, which is unsustainable.

    After the debt rating downgrades the year, BCE’s decision to sell its MLSE stake suggested the company was prioritizing debt repayment. Mr. Bibic, though, said Ziply’s owners approached him near the end of those negotiations. While he couldn’t say much publicly, he figured the MLSE sale “was either going to allow us to significantly reduce debt or seize the growth agenda that we had in mind.”

    Searchlight Capital acquired Ziply in 2019 for US$2-billion. Three Canadian pension funds – the Public Sector Pension Investment Board, British Columbia Investment Management Corporation and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board – are co-owners of the business, along with U.S. telecom-focused private equity fund WaveDivision Capital, LLC.

    The purchase marks a return to the United States for BCE after purchasing long-distance carrier Teleglobe Inc., which had significant U.S. operations, in 2000. Teleglobe filed for creditor protection in 2002 after the dot-com bust, and BCE wrote down billions of dollars.

  • Ottawa to release draft rules to cap emissions from oil and gas sector to 35% below 2019 levels

    The federal government will on Monday release draft regulations to cap greenhouse gas emissions from Canada’s oil and gas sector to 35 per cent below 2019 levels.

    The proposed new rules are at the lowest end of a policy framework the federal Liberal government released in December. That plan outlined a cut of between 35 and 38 per cent, which was itself a softer target than many had expected. It drew the ire of environmental groups, which said the cap should be tougher, and the oil and gas sector, which is roundly opposed to any such policy at all.

    The new rules will be executed via a cap-and-trade system, according to a press release. Facilities covered by the system will be allocated emissions allowances, and at the end of each year will need to remit to the government one allowance for each tonne of carbon pollution it has emitted. Over time, the government will give out fewer allowances corresponding to the declining emissions cap.

    Alberta’s United Conservative Premier Danielle Smith has argued a production cut would be necessary to meet targets imposed by an emissions cap. But the federal government has disputed that, saying the new rules reflect what is technically feasible between now and 2030.

    Profits in the oil and gas sector increased tenfold from $6.6-billion in 2019 to $66.6-billion in 2022, according to Statistics Canada, but much of that has been returned to shareholders rather than invested in emissions-reduction activities.

    Ottawa has been keen to see more progress on climate initiatives in the sector, including a $16.5-billion carbon capture project in Alberta’s oil sands that would transport carbon via a 400-kilometre-long pipeline to an underground hub near Cold Lake, Alta., reducing oil sands emissions by 22 megatonnes a year.

    It is spearheaded by the Pathways Alliance, which has pledged to bring greenhouse gas emissions created during oil-sands production to net zero by 2050. The group’s six members – Cenovus Energy Inc. Suncor Energy Inc., Imperial Oil, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., MEG Energy Corp. and ConocoPhillips Canada – collectively represent approximately 95 per cent of oil-sands production.

    Pathways members have reached out to pipe manufacturers, setting the stage for movement on the project, and C-suite leaders have voiced optimism they will soon reach an agreement with a federal financing body on terms to fund the plan.

    The Alberta government and the oil and gas industry insist an emissions cap will inhibit investment and growth in the oil and gas sector.

    They point to various reports that have reached similar conclusions, and forecasted wide job losses under a cap. Those include an analysis by Deloitte, which was commissioned by the province, and a report by S&P Global Commodity Insights, paid for by the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, an oil lobby.

    The provincial government in February released a formal response to the proposed federal cap, saying it was “not realistic or effective, will not achieve its grandiose emissions targets and will not be tolerated in Alberta,” and recently started a public campaign opposing the cap.

  • Nov 4: Oil gains more than 2% after OPEC+ delays output hike

    • Brent futures were up $1.81 per barrel, or 2.5%, to $74.91 a barrel at 0912 GMT.
    • U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.86 a barrel, or 2.7%, to $71.35.

    Oil prices rose more than 2% on Monday on a decision by OPEC+ to delay by a month plans to increase output, while the market braced for a crucial week that includes the U.S. presidential election and a key meeting in China.

    Brent futures were up $1.66 per barrel, or 2.27%, to $74.76 by 11:45 am ET. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.70 a barrel, or 245%, to $71.19.

    On Sunday, OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, said it would extend its output cut of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) for another month in December, with an increase already delayed from October because of falling prices and weak demand.

    The grouping had been due to increase output by 180,000 bpd from December.

    “Considering ongoing economic growth concerns, we believe the group wants more clarity on the economic impact of the interest rate cuts in the US and the fiscal and monetary policy easing in China,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

    “The group should also have clarity on the next U.S. president and the impact of compensation cuts from countries that produced above their ceiling in the past.”

    OPEC+ is set to gradually unwind the 2.2-million-bpd cut over the coming months, while another 3.66 million bpd of production cuts will stay until the end of 2025.

    Brent and WTI posted weekly declines last week of about 4% and 3%, respectively, as record U.S. output weighed on prices. But both contracts edged up on Friday on reports that Iran could launch a retaliatory strike on Israel within days.

    On Thursday, U.S. news website Axios said Israeli intelligence suggested that Iran was preparing to attack Israel from Iraq within days, citing two unidentified Israeli sources.

    Markets also await Tuesday’s U.S. presidential election, with polls showing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump neck-and-neck.

    And on Thursday, economists expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

    Oil price volatility will be high this week, analysts said, with market participants awaiting Iran’s response to recent Israeli attacks, the U.S. election outcome and central bank rate decisions.

    In China, the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress meets from Monday to Friday and is expected to approve additional stimulus to boost the slowing economy, though analysts say the bulk may go to help cut local government debt.

  • Calendar: Nov 1 – Nov 8

    Monday November 4

    Japan markets closed

    Euro zone manufacturing PMI

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. factory orders for September. The Street is projecting a decline of 0.4 per cent from August.

    (10:30 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s Market Participants Survey for Q3.

    Earnings include: Cargojet Inc.; Constellation Energy Corp.; Finning International Inc.; Marriott International Inc.; Palantir Technologies Inc.; Sun Life Financial Inc.; Topaz Energy Corp.; Toromont Industries Ltd.

    Tuesday November 5

    China’s Caixin services and composite PMI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s merchandise trade balance for September.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. goods and services trade deficit for September.

    (9:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s S&P Global Services PMI for October.

    (9:45 a.m. ET) U.S. S&P Global Services/Composite PMI for October.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. ISM Services PMI for October.

    (1:30 p.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s Summary of Deliberations for the Oct. 23 decision.

    Also: U.S. election

    Earnings include: Boardwalk REIT; Colliers International Group Inc.; CT REIT; Dream Industrial REIT; Fortis Inc.; IA Financial Corp. Inc.; Intact Financial Corp.; Kinross Gold Corp.; MEG Energy Corp.; Nuvei Inc.; Pan American Silver Corp.; Pembina Pipeline Corp.; Restaurant Brands International Inc.; TransAlta Corp.

    Wednesday November 6

    China trade surplus

    Japan and Euro zone services and composite PMI

    Germany factory orders

    (10 a.m. ET) Canada’s Ivey PMI for October.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. Global Supply Chain Pressure Index for October.

    (12:25 p.m. ET) Bank of Canada senior deputy governor Carolyn Rogers speaks to the Economic Club of Canada in Toronto.

    Also: U.S. Fed meeting begins.

    Earnings include: Alamos Gold Inc.; Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP; B2Gold Corp.; CGI Inc.; Choice Properties REIT; Franco-Nevada Corp.; GFL Environmental Holdings Inc.; Granite REIT; Great-West Lifeco Inc.; Manulife Financial Corp.; Nutrien Ltd.; Stella-Jones Inc.; WSP Global Inc.

    Thursday November 7

    China current account surplus

    Japan real cash earnings

    Euro zone retail sales

    Germany industrial production and trade surplus

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for week of Nov. 2. Estimate is 220,000, up 4,000 from the previous week.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. productivity and unit labour costs for Q3. The Street expects annualized rate rises of 2.3 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

    (9 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada deputy governor Rhys Mendes makes opening remarks at the John Kuszczak Memorial Lecture in Ottawa.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. wholesale inventories for September.

    (2 p.m. ET) U.S. Fed announcement with chair Jerome Powell’s press briefing to follow.

    Earnings include: Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.; Barrick Gold Corp.; BCE Inc.; Bombardier Inc.; Cameco Corp.; Canadian Tire Corp. Ltd.; CAP REIT; Definity Financial Corp.; Endeavour Mining Corp.; Hydro One Ltd.; Iamgod Corp.; IGM Financial Inc.; Lightspeed Commerce Inc.; Lundin Gold Inc.; Ovintiv Inc.; Primo Water Corp.; Quebecor Inc.; Saputo Inc.; Stantec Inc.; TC Energy Corp.; Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.

    Friday November 8

    Japan household spending

    (6:10 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada deputy governor Toni Gravellle joins an ECB panel in Frankfurt.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s employment for October. The Street is expecting an increase of 0.1 per cent, or 30,000 jobs, from September with the unemployment rate rising 0.1 per cent to 6.6 per cent.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for November.

    Earnings include: Brookfield Business Partners LP; Brookfield Renewable Partners LP; Constellation Software Inc.; Docebo Inc.; Emera Inc.; Heroux-Devtek Inc.; Onex Corp.

  • Nov 1 – TSX Ends On Firm Note As Technology, Consumer Discretionary Stocks Rally

    Canadian benchmark stock index ended with a modest gain on Friday, lifted by strong gains in technology and consumer discretionary sectors. Upbeat earnings updates from big name U.S. companies Intel and Amazon contributed significantly to the firm undertone on Bay Street.

    Investors also digested the latest batch of Canadian and U.S. economic data, and looked ahead to next week’s U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement.

    The benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index climbed to 24,365.11 by late morning, but pared a substantial portion of its gains as the day progressed and eventually closed up 98.29 points or 0.41% at 24,255.16. The index recorded a weekly loss of 0.85%.

    The Consumer Discretionary Capped Index gained almost 2%. The Information Technology Capped Index climbed 1.25% and the Healthcare Capped Index closed up 1.66%.

    Aecon Group Inc (ARE.TO) shares soared nearly 19%. Air Canada (AC.TO) zoomed about 14%. Air Canada reported net income of C$2.035 billion or C$5.38 per share for the third quarter, lower than C$1.250 or C$3.08 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

    Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH.TO) jumped more than 9%, Kinaxis Inc (KXS.TO) gained about 7.4% and Dayforce (DAY.TO) gained 7.3%. Docebo Inc (DCBO.TO) and Magna International (MG.TO) both ended higher by about 6.5%. Magna International announced that its board has approved a proposal to buy back up to around 28.5 million shares, or approximately 10% of the public float.

    Stella-Jones (SJ.TO), Celestica Inc (CLS.TO), Descartes Systems Group (DSG.TO), Morguard Corporation (MRU.TO), Terravest Industries (TVK.TO) and West Fraser Timber (WFG.TO) climbed 2 to 3.4%.

    Constellation Software (CSU.TO), FirstService Corporation (FSV.TO), Thomson Reuters (TRI.TO) and Intact Financial Corporation (IFC.TO) also ended notably higher.

    Ensign Energy Services (ESI.TO) gained nearly 4% after reporting net income of C$5.3 million or C$0.03 per common share for the third-quarter of this financial year, compared to a net loss of C$5.2 million or C$0.03 per common share, a year ago.

    Eldorado Gold Corporation (ELD.TO) ended down 5.8% despite reporting turnaround results. The company reported net earnings of $101.1 million or $0.49 per share for the third-quarter, compared to last year’s loss of $6.6 million or $0.03 per share.

    Imperial Oil (IMO.TO) closed lower by 5.1%. Open Text Corporation (OTEX.TO), Emera Incorporated (EMA.TO), Capital Power Corporation (CPX.TO), goeasy (GSY.TO), Molson Coors Canada Inc (TPX.B.TO), Cogeco Communications (CCA.TO) and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM.TO) also ended notably lower.

    In economic news, a report from S&P Global said that its Canada Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.1 in October from 50.4 in the previous month, marking the second consecutive expansion in the nation’s factory activity after 17 consecutive monthly contractions.

  • Auto parts company Magna International reports US$484M Q3 profit, lowers guidance

    Magna International Inc. cut its guidance for its full year as it reported net income attributable to the company of US$484 million for its third quarter, up from US$394 million a year earlier.

    The Ontario-based auto parts company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, says the profit amounted to US$1.68 per diluted share for the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with US$1.37 per diluted share a year earlier.

    Sales for the quarter totalled US$10.28 billion, down from US$10.69 billion in the same quarter last year.

    On an adjusted basis, Magna says it earned US$1.28 per diluted share, down from an adjusted profit of US$1.46 per diluted share a year earlier.

    In its outlook, Magna says it now expects total sales for 2024 between US$42.2 billion and US$43.2 billion, compared with earlier expectations for between US$42.5 billion and US$44.1 billion.

    The company, which reduced its expectations for light vehicle production around the world, also says it now expects adjusted net income attributable to Magna of US$1.45 billion to US$1.55 billion for 2024, down from earlier guidance for between US$1.5 billion and US$1.7 billion.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 1, 2024.

  • Imperial Oil reports $1.24B third-quarter profit, down from $1.60B a year ago

    Imperial Oil Ltd. reported a third-quarter profit of $1.24 billion, down from $1.60 billion in the same quarter last year.

    The company says the profit amounted to $2.33 per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30, down from $2.76 per diluted share a year earlier.

    The result came as Imperial’s total revenue and other income amounted to $13.26 billion for the quarter, down from $13.92 billion in the same quarter last year.

    Imperial says upstream production in the quarter averaged 447,000 gross oil-equivalent barrels per day, the highest third-quarter production in over 30 years.

    The result was up from 423,000 gross oil-equivalent barrels per day a year earlier.

    Downstream throughput in the quarter averaged 389,000 barrels per day, with overall refinery capacity utilization of 90 per cent, compared with 416,000 barrels per day and 96 per cent utilization a year ago.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 1, 2024.