Category: Uncategorized

  • August inflation holds steady at 3% as crude stays firm, food prices ease

    Canada’s annual inflation growth rate held at 3 per cent in August, same as last month, as crude prices continued to stay firm affecting gasoline costs and food prices cooled only moderately, data showed on Monday.

    The next month’s consumer price index data could show further strengthening as benchmark Brent crude price crossed US$100 per barrel this month and U.S. President Donald Trump’s new 50-per-cent tariffs and Canada’s retaliatory measures impact costs for the full month.

    Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast the annual inflation rate at 3 per cent and monthly inflation to register no change.

    On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices fell 0.1 per cent, Statistics Canada said.

    Gasoline prices eased slightly in August but still increased at an annual rate of 22.8 per cent. This was down from 25.7-per-cent increase noted in July.

    Food prices, which have been accelerating faster than the headline inflation since July, eased slightly and registered an annual growth rate of 2.8 per cent. This was the first time in 14 months that food prices fell below the 3-per-cent mark.

    Prices for dairy products led the deceleration in food prices with costs rising 0.7 per cent annually in August compared with a 3.1-per-cent rise in July. Cheese and yogurt were the top contributors to the slowdown in dairy prices, StatsCan said.

    Prices for tours and travel rose 26.1 per cent, another main contributor to the upside inflation after gasoline and food, due to base year effect. During the same period last year costs in this category had fallen due to a sharp decline in Canadian’s traveling to the United States.

    CPI-median, the centermost component of the CPI basket, stood at 2 per cent, while CPI-trim, which excludes the most extreme price changes, was at 1.9 per cent in August, the same as reported in July. These core measures have largely hovered around 2 per cent for the last several months, easing worries that crude prices were spilling onto other costs.

    Shelter costs, which include rents and mortgage interest costs, increased slightly to 1.5 per cent in August from 1.3 per cent in July.

    The Bank of Canada said last month that it will not hesitate to increase rates multiple times if inflation stays higher and impacts the closely-watched core measures.

    The central bank strives to keep inflation around the mid-point of its target range of 1 per cent to 3 per cent.

  • TD commits $150-billion to fund Canadian companies in critical sectors over next five years

    Toronto-Dominion Bank TD-T -0.10%decrease is committing $150-billion over five years in new lending, underwriting, advisory and other financing activities aimed at driving growth across sectors that are essential to boosting Canada’s economy.

    The country’s biggest banks have been launching initiatives – ahead of Ottawa’s investment summit this week – to provide capital for Canadian companies as the federal government attempts to reduce economic dependence on the United States.

    TD’s initiative focuses on five key sectors the bank believes will drive economic growth, including energy, critical minerals and resources, defence and aerospace, digital technology and artificial intelligence, and infrastructure.

    For potential projects, TD listed clean and conventional energy, exploration and extraction of resources, aerospace supply chains, AI innovation and commercialization, and ports and trade corridors, among others.

    TD said it already has subject-matter experts in these areas and is adding capacity and talent as it expands in these sectors. But partnerships with government and investors will be necessary to make progress on key projects.

    Canada has potential for investment ‘super cycle’ with certain policy changes: TD report

    “For the supercycle to take effect, it’s more than just the capital of the banks,” TD chief executive officer Raymond Chun said in an interview.

    “It’s about how do you make sure you get the investors and the opportunities linked together, the work that has to get done with government, and then the subject-matter experts from the banking side, and certainly our funding – all of that needs co-ordination and to be brought together.”

    The Canadian economy could launch an investment “supercycle” if certain steps are taken, including increasing the competitiveness of the country’s tax and regulatory systems, according to a recent report by TD.

    It estimates that $1-trillion in new investments across more than 300 projects is already approved or being considered through 2035 across five key sectors of the economy.

    TD examined those 300 projects and identified the five sectors where the bank believes it can provide additional financial support through lending, underwriting, advisory services, equity and debt capital markets and other opportunities, Mr. Chun said.

    Is Carney a closer? The Canada Investment Summit will be the ultimate test

    He said foreign investors attending the Canada Investment Summit will be looking for projects progressing at greater speed. He added that reducing regulatory and tax complexities and improving access to skilled labour will be key to attracting investments.

    “At the speed and the quantity of the deals and opportunities that are there, you’re going to need skilled labour,” Mr. Chun said.

    “We need to make sure as a country that not only are we nurturing and retaining, but we’re enabling skilled labour to go coast to coast and apply their skills and trades. That’s not as easy as it should be inside of Canada.”

    As part of the bank’s financing commitment, TD plans to invest in programs that help companies adapt and scale. It has expanded its small and commercial business unit by hiring more than 800 staff and expanding its local teams in regions across the country.

    The bank also intends to invest in programs and partnerships to develop skills critical to growing sectors of the economy and in initiatives to boost AI literacy, digital capability and entrepreneurship.

    TD’s financing program is one in a series of moves by Canadian banks to introduce new measures to invest in domestic businesses.

    Scotiabank commits more than $100-billion to help fund expansion of Canadian companies

    Over the past year, Canada’s banks have faced persistent calls to boost lending for small- and medium-sized business, while pension funds have been urged to increase investments in the country.

    Canadian banks, analysts and industry researchers called on the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions to free up lending capacity.

    In June, OSFI reduced the amount of capital the country’s biggest banks must hold, freeing up billions of dollars to boost lending as Ottawa looks to attract greater private financing for high-growth sectors.

    Earlier Monday, Bank of Nova Scotia committed more than $100-billion to help scale Canadian businesses and launched an institute led by a former ambassador to examine the country’s long-term competitiveness.

    Royal Bank of Canada launched a $1.4-billion fund aimed at investing in Canadian technology companies, including aerospace and dual-use defence businesses.

    Bank of Montreal said it will deploy up to $70-billion in new capital over 10 years for key sectors.

    Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce committed $2-billion over five years for small- and medium-sized defence-related and dual-use businesses.

  • Carney seeks closer ties with EU, including possible associate membership, report says

    Prime Minister Mark Carney wants a closer relationship with the European Union and is exploring whether his country could become an “associate member” of the bloc, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday.

    The EU, which has not been flexible about membership rules in the past, is open to the idea of granting Canada a yet to be created status of associate membership, the newspaper reported, citing unnamed officials both from the EU and Canada.

    The Canadian embassy in Brussels and spokespeople at the European Commission did not respond to separate requests for comment.

    Canada’s escalating trade war with the United States has added urgency to its strategic pivot towards other trading partners.

    Relations between Ottawa and Washington have deteriorated sharply since President Donald Trump returned to the White House last year due to disagreements over trade and other issues. The trade dispute has led to tariffs on tens of billions of dollars in cross-border trade.

    Canada and the EU are discussing ways of allowing Canada’s goods, services and workers involved in strategic supply chains such as energy, AI, defence and critical minerals to move freely, thus effectively shifting the EU border, the Wall Street Journal said.

    Canada and the EU are also talking about laying underwater cables, jointly constructing data centres, cloud storage and new satellite networks and infrastructure to ship Canadian energy to the EU, the newspaper said.

    Carney has spoken regularly with several EU leaders, most notably French President Emmanuel Macron, about the possibility of letting Canadians live and work visa-free in the EU, the WSJ said, citing two unnamed officials familiar with the matter.

    Macron’s press office did not respond to a request for comment.

    Macron’s office separately confirmed that he will meet Carney on Sept. 20 in the French territory of Saint Pierre and Miquelon, a group of islands off Canada’s Atlantic coast.

    The meeting marks the first official visit by a Canadian prime minister to the archipelago and “symbolizes the strength of the relationship that unites our two countries,” the Elysee said.

    Any project to forge closer ties between Canada and the EU likely faces challenges, however, based on past efforts to implement a more modest trade deal, which has faced fierce opposition within Europe.

    More than a decade after the deal was struck and nine years since it provisionally entered into force, several EU countries still have not ratified it.

  • Out of Your Pocket: The amount of money granted by Carney govt to overseas /non-Canadian entities in 2025/2026

    summary

    • For fiscal 2025–26, Global Affairs Canada planned approximately C$4.23 billion in grants and contributions for international-development programming.
    • This is the most defensible government-wide starting figure for funding delivered through multilateral, bilateral and Canadian-partner programs—not the full cost of operating embassies or Global Affairs Canada.
    • Separately, major foreign commitments publicly announced by the Carney government during the fiscal year total at least C$3.81 billion.
    • That C$3.81-billion figure includes multi-year commitments; it does not mean the entire amount was paid during fiscal 2025–26.
    • Canada also disbursed a C$2.3-billion loan to Ukraine and announced up to C$544 million in development-bank guarantees. These are financing instruments, not grants.

    Major publicly announced commitments

    Amounts are Canadian dollars.

    Destination/programAnnounced commitmentClassification
    Ukraine—military assistanceC$2.000BMilitary support allocated over one year
    Ukraine—humanitarian, cyber and democracy programsMore than C$31MGrants/contributions
    Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and MalariaC$1.020BThree-year pledge for 2026–2028
    G7 international-development financing initiativesC$391.3MMulti-year international assistance
    Children’s nutrition, climate and biodiversityC$207MInternational assistance announced at UNGA
    Haiti stabilization and regional securityC$60MC$40M conditional security support plus C$20M regional initiative
    West Bank and Gaza—governance and resilienceMore than C$47MInternational assistance
    Gaza and West Bank—July humanitarian packageC$40MC$30M humanitarian plus C$10M through the World Bank
    Afghanistan earthquake responseC$3MHumanitarian assistance
    Caribbean hurricane responseC$7MHumanitarian assistance
    Minimum documented commitmentsApproximately C$3.81BIncludes multi-year amounts

    Sources: Prime Minister’s UN General Assembly announcement, Ukraine allocation, Global Fund pledge, Afghanistan assistance, Caribbean assistance.

    Government-wide funding envelope

    Global Affairs Canada’s fiscal 2025–26 plan identified:

    CategoryPlanned 2025–26 spending
    Multilateral development programmingC$3.351B
    Partnership with Canadians programmingC$430.96M
    Bilateral development programmingC$447.95M
    Total development grants and contributionsC$4.230B
    Entire “Development, Peace and Security Programming” responsibilityC$4.980B
    Total Global Affairs Canada budgetC$8.437B

    The C$4.23-billion figure includes money administered through Canadian organizations as well as money paid directly to foreign governments, UN agencies and international organizations. It therefore cannot be described entirely as “money given to foreign entities.” Global Affairs Canada 2025–26 Departmental Plan, transfer-payment tables.

    Loans and guarantees—not grants

    InstrumentAmountTreatment
    Ukraine G7 ERA loan—second trancheC$2.3BConfirmed disbursement; repayable through revenue from immobilized Russian assets
    Development-bank portfolio guaranteesUp to C$544MContingent exposure, not an immediate cash grant
    Total financing exposureUp to C$2.844BMust not be added to grants as ordinary spending

    The government confirmed the C$2.3-billion Ukraine loan was part of a C$5-billion commitment originally announced before Carney became prime minister. G7 backgrounder.

    Important data gap

    The final Public Accounts of Canada for fiscal 2025–26 are needed to establish precisely how much cash was paid to every non-Canadian recipient. Until those recipient-level accounts are available and reconciled:

    • C$4.23 billion is the planned international-development transfer-payment envelope.
    • C$3.81 billion is a minimum of major Carney-government commitments identified above.
    • Neither figure represents a verified, exhaustive total of cash transferred exclusively to overseas entities.
  • Key Market Focus: September 14–18, 2026

    TSX priorities

    • WTI and Middle East: Watch Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea developments after WTI’s 9.4% weekly surge. Continued strength benefits energy producers but hurts consumer and transportation companies.
    • Canada CPI: Inflation above the previous 3.0% YoY would reduce expectations for BoC easing and pressure rate-sensitive sectors.
    • Fed decision: A rate increase or hawkish guidance would likely pressure Shopify, technology, gold and long-duration assets.
    • U.S.–Canada tariffs: Monitor further retaliation or negotiation signals; Magna, Canadian Tire, railways and manufacturers remain exposed.
    • Gold and copper: Higher yields and a firmer U.S. dollar are downside risks; geopolitical escalation offers support.

    Base view

    Expect a volatile, event-driven week. Energy could retain relative strength, while technology, financials and consumer sectors remain sensitive to rates. This view would improve if oil falls below US$95, inflation softens and central banks adopt less-hawkish guidance.

  • Calendar: Sept 14 – Sept 18

    Monday September 14

    China’s aggregate yuan financing and new yuan loans

    Japan’s industrial production

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian CPI for August. The Street expects a month-over-month decline of 0.1 per cent but a 3.0-per-cent rise year-over-year.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s manufacturing sales and new orders for July. Estimates are drops of 0.1 per cent and 5.0 per cent month-over-month, respectively.

    Also: Canada Investment Summit in Toronto (through Tuesday)

    Earnings include: Evertz Technologies Ltd.


    Tuesday September 15

    China’s retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment

    Japan’s trade deficit

    Euro zone’s trade surplus

    (5 a.m. ET) Canada’s existing home sales and average prices for August. Estimates are year-over-year falls of 6.5 per cent and 0.1 per cent, respectively.

    (5 a.m. ET) Canada’s MLS Home Price Index for August. Estimate is a decline of 3.0 per cent from the same period a year ago.

    (8:15 a.m. ET) U.S. ADP Employment for Aug. 29.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian wholesale trade for July. Estimate is a decline of 0.5 per cent from June.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s new motor vehicle sales for July. Estimate is a year-over-year slid of 2.0 per cent.

    Also: U.S. Fed meeting begins.

    Earnings include: NanoXplore Inc.


    Wednesday September 16

    Japan’s core machine orders

    Euro zone’s industrial production and labour costs.

    (8:15 a.m. ET) Canada’s housing starts for August. Estimate is an annualized rate rise of 2.6 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian building permits for July. Estimate is a month-over-month drop of 10.0 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. retail sales for August. The Street expects a rise of 0.8 per cent month-over-month (versus a fall of 0.4 per cent in July).

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. import prices for August. Consensus is a flat reading month-over-month but a gain of 6.1 per cent year-over-year.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index for September.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. business inventories for July. The Street is projecting a gain of 0.2 per cent from June.

    (2 a.m. ET) U.S. Fed announcement and summary of economic projections with Chairman Kevin Warsh’s press briefing to follow.

    (1:30 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s Summary of Deliberations for Sept. 2 decision is released.

    Earnings include: Dollarama Inc.; Lennar Corp.


    Thursday September 17

    Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting (through Friday)

    Euro zone’s CPI

    Bank of England’s monetary policy announcement.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s industrial product and raw materials price indexes for August.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s new housing price index for August. Estimates are declines of 0.1 per cent from July and 2.1 per cent year-over-year.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s international securities transactions for July.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for week of Sept. 11. Estimate is 208,000, up 2,000 from the previous week.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. housing starts for August. Consensus is an annualized rate rise of 6.4 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. building permits for August. The Street is projecting a decline of 2.0 per cent on an annualized rate basis

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. Philadelphia Fed Index for September.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. pending home sales for August.

    Earnings include: Carnival Corp.


    Friday September 18

    Japan’s CPI

    ECB three-year CPI expectations

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s household and mortgage credit for July.

    (9:15 a.m. ET) U.S. industrial production and capacity utilization for August.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. leading indicator for August.

  • Couche-Tard reports US$828.5M in Q1 profit, up year-over-year from US$782.5M

    Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.’s net earnings attributable to shareholders came in at US$828.5 million in the first quarter, up from US$782.5 million during the same period last year.     

    That amounted to diluted net earnings per share of 90 cents US for the first quarter, compared with 82 cents US in the prior year quarter. 

    The Laval, Que.-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, says its total revenue came in at US$21.7 billion for the first quarter, rising year-over-year from US$17.3 billion.   

    Couche-Tard says its total merchandise and service revenue amounted to US$4.9 billion, compared with US$4.7 billion during last year’s first quarter. 

    In July, Couche-Tard made an US$8.6-billion offer for a controlling stake in Polish convenience store operator Zabka Group.

    Alex Miller, Couche-Tard CEO, says the company is looking forward to welcoming Zabka into the Couche-Tard family, which will enhance its capabilities in food and digital engagement while expanding its scale in central and eastern Europe.   

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 1, 2026. 

  • BMO commits up to $70-billion in new capital to shore up critical sectors

    Bank of Montreal BMO-T +0.40%increase
    said it will deploy up to $70-billion in new capital over 10 years for sectors considered critical to Canada’s economy.

    The bank said its plan is aimed at supporting Canada’s economic security and resilience. It’s the latest move among Canada’s biggest banks targeting sectors Ottawa has deemed essential to reduce dependence on the United States and bolster the economy.

    BMO will focus on key industries, including electricity, energy and transportation infrastructure, mining and critical minerals, AI computing, defence and security, and oil and gas.

    The capital will be issued through bank financing, debt capital markets activity and the raising of public equity.

    Prospectus for Carney’s summit highlights more than 160 projects open for investment

    BMO chief executive officer Darryl White said Canada’s growth requires capital to back new ideas.

    “The opportunities before us today in these critical economic sectors are the latest chapter in that story,” he said in a statement.

    Over the past year, calls have mounted for Canada’s six biggest banks to increase lending for small- and medium-sized business and for pension funds to boost investments in the country. At a Senate committee in June, Canada’s banking regulator cited a fund by JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM-N +0.87%increase
    , the world’s biggest bank, saying Canadian banks should “step up and make the same commitment to Canada.”

    Last year, U.S.-based JPMorgan said it would invest US$1.5-trillion over 10 years in industries that bolster the U.S. economy’s security and resilience. Earlier this year, the bank said it is expanding that support to Canada, Europe and Britain.

    Foreign money is flooding into Canada. But a closer look reveals a U.S.-driven boom

    Royal Bank of Canada RY-T +0.10%increase
    announced it is launching a $1.4-billion fund aimed at investing in Canadian technology companies, including aerospace and dual-use defence companies. The lender said the fund will focus on sectors where it believes the country’s greatest strengths lie.

    Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM-T +0.11%increase
    is committing $2-billion over five years for small- and medium-sized defence-related and dual-use businesses as Ottawa spends to boost the country’s military base.

    Bank of Nova Scotia BNS-T +0.63%increase is planning to issue Canadian defence bonds to help raise capital for companies.

    National Bank of Canada NA-T +0.47%increase
    tapped former top general Rick Hillier to advise on defence and assist with the lender’s efforts to grow its client base in the defence and security industry, as well as among dual-use companies.

    BMO said its efforts should support national priorities to help Canadian businesses compete as the global economy shifts. This could include initiatives proposed to the Major Projects Office, as well as projects related to Canada’s national electricity strategy, the province of Alberta and the oil sands, sovereign AI, and analysis related to the defence and oil and gas sectors.

  • Enbridge to buy Tallgrass crude oil business for $2.55-billion

    Enbridge ENB-T -3.29%decrease is further expanding its reach into the U.S. market with a US$2.55-billion deal to buy the crude oil business of Tallgrass Energy LP.

    The acquisition announced Wednesday includes a 75 per cent interest in the Pony Express Pipeline, a 460,000-barrel-per-day system that connects oil from the Rockies region to Cushing, Okla., a major storage hub. It also includes a US$300 million plan to expand Pony Express to 515,000 barrels per day of capacity.

    Also through the deal, Enbridge gets a 51 per cent interest in the Powder River Gateway system in Wyoming, about 8.4 million barrels of storage capacity across nine terminals and a crude marketing business.

    The Tallgrass deal comes two weeks after Enbridge announced plans to buy Salt Creek Midstream’s crude oil gathering business in Texas for US$600 million.

    “Both acquisitions … represent the types of opportunities that do not come along very often, and even more rarely meet our disciplined evaluation criteria,” chief executive Greg Ebel said on a conference call on Wednesday.

    In a news release, Enbridge said it believes U.S. crude oil production will continue to play a critical role in meeting global energy demand for decades, and the Tallgrass deal “positions the company to lead this mission.”

    The Tallgrass deal is expected to close later in 2026, subject to closing conditions that include U.S. antitrust provisions.

    The acquisition was announced a day after Ebel said he plans to retire at year end, handing the reins to the current head of Enbridge’s gas utilities business, Michele Harradence.

    “Our continued momentum on these strategically important transactions during a time of CEO succession reflects the strength of Enbridge’s planning, deep bench strength and execution capabilities,” Ebel told the call.