Author: Consultant

  • ATD: Couche-Tard wins access to 7-Eleven owner’s confidential financial data

    Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. has won access to Seven & i Holdings Co.’s confidential financial data after months of effort, a critical step in its bid to take over its Japanese convenience store rival.

    The two companies confirmed late Wednesday that they signed a non-disclosure agreement allowing them to share private information. The pact will help them push forward talks on a potential transaction while facilitating due diligence and collaboration on their plans to exchange with regulators, Couche-Tard said in a statement.

    “We appreciate the special committee of Seven & i engaging in substantive discussions regarding our proposal and providing access to diligence,” Couche-Tard Chief Executive Alex Miller said in the statement. “We look forward to working collaboratively with Seven & i in the interests of all stakeholders.”

    The agreement is a significant development for Couche-Tard, whose executives have expressed frustration in recent weeks with what they called the “very limited” engagement from Seven & i, the owner of the 7-Eleven chain. Couche-Tard founder and chairman Alain Bouchard said in March his team had tried repeatedly to meet with Seven & i executives to talk about a deal but that “it is hard if not impossible.”

    Couche-Tard’s current offer for Seven & i is worth about 7.4 trillion yen (US$52-billion). Mr. Bouchard has dangled the possibility of sweetening that amount if Seven & i opened its books for scrutiny.

    The pact signed by the two companies also includes a standstill provision, Seven & i said in a separate statement. Such provisions typically restrict a buyer from taking certain actions while the parties negotiate a potential deal, such as purchasing shares or other things that could lead to a hostile takeover.

    “The execution of the NDA is a positive step in the constructive engagement process” with Couche-Tard, said Paul Yonamine, chair of Seven & i’s independent special committee. “Unlocking significant value for shareholders and other stakeholders remains Seven & i’s top priority,” he said.

    The Japanese company is pursuing a dual-track effort in its bid to create that value: Exploring a possible sale to Couche-Tard and going it alone as a more focused business. As part of plans to remain independent, it is selling its underperforming supermarkets and has announced plans to list a portion of its U.S. retail operation to fund a massive stock buyback.

    Shares of Seven & i climbed as much as 3.5 per cent Thursday morning on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. But they’re still trading more than 20 per cent below Couche-Tard’s offer, suggesting investors believe a deal remains improbable.

    News that a non-disclosure agreement has been signed “crystallizes that Couche-Tard is not ready to walk away, and that Seven & i remains highly committed to pursue its own value creation path,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Irene Nattel said in a note to clients. “There is far from any certainty that an agreement will be reached and approved by regulatory authorities,” she said, adding she believes there’s “a long road ahead.”

    Seven & i has said Couche-Tard is downplaying the antitrust risks of a potential merger of the two retail giants, vowing it won’t be drawn into “limbo for multiple years” as regulators decide its fate. The Tokyo company has said its directors have always been open to a merger or go-private transaction, but only if there’s a high certainty that a deal will close.

    Couche-Tard executives have said there is “a path to regulatory approval” in the United States. But Seven & i CEO Stephen Dacus has expressed doubts about that claim.

    “They just kept saying ‘Trust us. We can do this. We’ll work it out,’ ” Mr. Dacus told The Yomiuri Shimbun newspaper in March. He said although Couche-Tard has experience in winning antitrust approval for previous takeovers, many of those have been small deals and nothing on the scale of this potential tie-up. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission will be “much stricter” in this case, he said.

    The two companies have been working together with investment bankers on securing buyers for stores they might have to divest, including an estimated 2,000 North American locations. Private equity firms are seen by analysts as the likely buyers.

  • U.S. weekly unemployment claims rise more than expected as tariffs weigh on economy

    The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, potentially hinting at a pickup in layoffs from tariffs, which weighed on the economy in the first quarter.

    Initial claims for state unemployment benefits jumped 18,000 a seasonally adjusted 241,000 for the week ended April 26, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 224,000 claims for the latest week.

    The economy contracted last quarter for the first time in three years, swamped by a flood of imports as businesses tried to avoid duties from President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

    Economists expect the aggressive trade policy to result in a wave of job losses. The tariffs, expected to be a drag on domestic demand, are already prompting some companies to reduce staff. United Parcel Service said on Tuesday it would slash 20,000 jobs and shut 73 facilities as part of a planned reduction in deliveries for Amazon.com.

    Businesses in general have mostly adopted a wait-and-see attitude and are retaining their workforces, while remaining cautious about adding head count.

    The number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, soared 83,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.916 million during the week ending April 19, the claims report showed.

    The claims data have no bearing on April’s employment report, scheduled for release on Friday. Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 130,000 jobs last month after rising 228,000 in March, a Reuters survey of economists showed. The unemployment rate is forecast unchanged at 4.2 per cent.

  • Gildan Activewear sees Q1 profit rise to US$84.7 million, net sales also up

    Gildan Activewear Inc. saw its earnings rise to US$84.7 million in its latest quarter. The Montreal-based apparel maker, which keeps its book in U.S. dollars, says the first-quarter profit compared with net earnings of US$78.7 million a year earlier. Net sales for the quarter ended March 30 totalled US$711.7 million, up from US$695.8 million. On an adjusted basis, Gildan says it earned US$89.8 million in the quarter, compared with US$99.1 million a year ago. Those figures translated to adjusted earnings of 59 cents US per diluted share, flat compared with a year before. Financial markets data firm Refinitiv said on average analysts had expected adjusted earnings of 57 cents US per diluted share. This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 29, 2025. Companies in this story: (TSX:GIL)

  • Economy shrunk 0.2% in February, StatCan estimates 1.5% annualized growth for Q1

    The Canadian economy shrunk in February, but economists say bad weather was likely the larger culprit than uncertainty related to the trade war with the U.S.

    Statistics Canada said Wednesday that real gross domestic product decreased 0.2 per cent in February after the economy grew 0.4 per cent in the first month of 2025. It also said that early signs suggest there was moderate growth in March.

    The contraction was driven by a 0.6 per cent decline for goods-producing industries, as the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction sector, along with construction, contributed most to the decrease.

    Following two consecutive monthly increases, the former was down 2.5 per cent and became the largest detractor from growth. Construction, which was down half a percentage point, fell for the first time in four months.

    Services-producing industries edged 0.1 per cent lower in February as contractions in transportation and warehousing, along with real estate, rental and leasing, were partially offset by a rise in finance and insurance.

    CIBC economist Andrew Grantham called February’s decline unexpected, but said it was likely driven more by harsh weather than tariff uncertainty, as poor winter conditions hurt sectors such as mining, oil and gas, transportation and real estate.

    StatCan said transportation and warehousing declined 1.1 per cent in February after two straight monthly gains, as the sector was hurt by major snowstorms that hit Central and Eastern Canada and storms passing through B.C.

    Transit, ground passenger, scenic and sightseeing transportation fell 3.4 per cent in the month, while rail transportation was down 5.6 per cent amid commuter train cancellations and capacity and speed reductions by rail carriers.

    Meanwhile, manufacturing was a “bright spot,” said Desjardins managing director Royce Mendes, noting that activity may have picked up “as a result of increased demand from U.S. buyers trying to get ahead of tariffs.”

    The manufacturing sector rose 0.6 per cent in February, increasing for the second month in a row, largely driven by durable-goods manufacturing industries. Machinery manufacturing grew 5.9 per cent and contributed most to the increase in that category.

    StatCan’s early estimates indicate real GDP increased 0.1 per cent in March amid gains in mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction, retail trade and transportation and warehousing.

    The agency said the annualized growth rate for the first quarter based on the March flash estimate is 1.5 per cent.

    “Adding it up, the overall Q1 growth rate was a snick below the (Bank of Canada’s) estimate, but in line with our call, so no major drama here,” said BMO Capital Markets chief economist Douglas Porter in a note.

    “The real drama now begins, with the tariffs much more of an issue in Q2, and the U.S. economy also now facing much heavier weather of its own. We would be surprised if GDP manages to grow in Q2.”

    Michael Davenport, senior economist at Oxford Economics, added the global trade war is expected to push Canada’s economy into a recession beginning in the second quarter.

    “The Liberal election win means significant new fiscal stimulus is on the way, but it won’t begin to support the economy until (the second half of the year), and we don’t think it will be enough to prevent a downturn,” he said.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 30, 2025.

  • OPEC+ to consider another accelerated oil output increase for June, sources say

    Several OPEC+ members will suggest the group accelerates oil output hikes in June for a second consecutive month, three sources familiar with OPEC+ talks told Reuters, as a dispute worsens between members over compliance with production quotas.

    Oil prices hit a four-year low in April, dragged down by a U.S.-China trade war and an unexpected decision by OPEC+ to increase output by 411,000 barrels per day of oil in May – which was three times more than the group originally planned.

    Without specifying how many countries, the three sources said some wanted to increase output by a similar volume to the May increase.

    Eight OPEC+ countries will meet on May 5 to decide the June output plan.

    The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and the Saudi Arabian authorities did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.

    Oil prices, which were up in early trade on Wednesday, later turned negative, with global benchmark Brent crude trading down more than 2 per cent to less than $66 a barrel.

    Saudi Arabia pushed for the speedier output increase in May after Kazakhstan and Iraq angered the kingdom by producing well above quotas, OPEC+ sources have said. A meeting of senior OPEC+ ministers on April 5 said compliance had to improve.

    Kazakhstan, however, said it would prioritize national interests over those of OPEC+ when deciding on output levels.

    The Kazakh energy minister told Reuters on Wednesday the country was unable to curtail the output of independent oil majors on its territory and would not shut down its own oil fields as that would damage their future production.

    “Kazakhstan’s statement cements our view that OPEC+ may implement another accelerated three-month unwind again in the May meeting and it may continue again in July and through the summer,” said Amrita Sen, co-founder of Energy Aspects.

    Kazakh oil output fell in the first two weeks of April by 3 per cent from the March average but was still above the OPEC+ quota it had pledged to meet after months of overproduction.

    Iraq, the group’s largest overproducer, also said it will curb output, but has so far increased exports in April month-on-month, data from industry monitor Kpler showed.

    Not all of the eight OPEC+ countries, which are raising production as part of the winding down of earlier voluntary output cuts, support speedier output increases.

    Some countries, including Russia, preferred to stick to the earlier approved slower monthly output hikes of 135,000 bpd to avoid a price crash, two separate OPEC+ sources said.

    The OPEC+ production increases have followed calls from U.S. President Donald Trump for OPEC to lower oil prices and his return to his policy of “maximum pressure” on Iran whose oil exports Washington wants to reduce to zero.

    Trump is due to visit Saudi Arabia in May and says the kingdom one of the United States’ most important allies in the Middle East.

    The May and potential June hikes are part of a plan by Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman to gradually unwind their most recent output cut of 2.2 million bpd.

    OPEC+ also has 3.65 million bpd of other output cuts in place until the end of next year to support the market.

  • Economic Calendar: April 28 – May 2

    Monday April 28

    China industrial profits

    Germany retail sales

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian wholesale trade for March.

    (10:30 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s Market Participants Survey for Q1.

    Also: Canadian federal election

    Earnings include: Domino’s Pizza Inc.; Nucor Corp.; Waste Management Inc.; Welltower Inc.

    **

    Tuesday April 29

    Japan’s markets closed

    ECB three-year CPI expectations

    Euro zone and Germany consumer confidence

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. goods trade deficit for March.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. wholesale and retail inventories for March.

    (9 a.m. ET) U.S. S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 city) for February. The Street expects a rise of 0.3 per cent from January and up 4.6 per cent year-over-year.

    (9 a.m. ET) U.S. FHFA House Price Index for February. Cosnensus is a rise of 0.3 per cent from January and a 3.9-per-cent gain year-over-year.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for April.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. Job Openings & Labor Survey for March.

    Earnings include: AstraZeneca ADR; Coca-Cola Co.; First National Financial Corp.; Gildan Activewear Inc.; Honeywell International Inc.; Kraft Heinz Co.; Mondelez International Inc.; New Gold Inc.; PayPal Holdings Inc.; Pfizer Inc.; S&P Global Inc.; Spotify Technology SA; Starbucks Corp.; United Parcel Service Inc.; Visa Inc.

    **

    Wednesday April 30

    China PMI

    Japan retail sales and industrial policy

    Euro zone GDP

    Germany GDP, CPI and unemployment

    (8:15 a.m. ET) U.S. ADP national employment report for April.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s monthly GDP for February. The Street is projecting a month-over-month decline of 0.1 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. real GDP and price index for Q1. Consensus is annualized rate increases of 0.3 per cent and 3.1 per cent, respectively.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. employment cost index for Q1. Consensus is a rise of 0.9 per cent from Q4 and up 3.5 per cent year-over-year.

    (9:45 a.m. ET) U.S. Chicago PMI for April.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. personal spending and income for March. The Street is forecasting month-over-month gains of 0.6 per cent and 0.4 per cent, respectively.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. core PCE price index for March. Consensus is an increase of 0.1 per cent from February and 2.5 per cent year-over-year.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. pending home sales for March.

    (1:30 p.m. ET) Bank of Canada’s summary of deliberations for the April 16 decision are released.

    Earnings include: Alamos Gold Inc.; Bausch + Lomb Corp.; Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP; Capital Power Corp.; Caterpillar Inc.; Cenovus Energy Inc.; CGI Inc.; Ebay Inc.; GFL Environmental Holdings Inc.; Ivanhoe Mines Ltd.; Loblaw Companies Ltd.; Meta Platforms Inc.; Methanex Corp.; Microsoft Corp.; Open Text Corp.; Paramount Resources Ltd.; Parkland Fuel Corp.; Qualcomm Inc.; Spin Master Corp.; Toromont Industries Ltd.

    **

    Thursday May 1

    China’s markets closed.

    Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting and outlook report

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian provincial GDP for 2024.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for week of April 26. Estimate is 227,000, up 5,000 from the previous week.

    (9:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s S&P global manufacturing PMI for April.

    (9:45 a.m. ET) U.S. S&P global manufacturing PMI for April.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI for April.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. construction spending for March. The Street expects a month-over-month increase of 0.3 per cent.

    Also: U.S. and Canadian auto sales for April

    Earnings include: AltaGas Ltd.; Amazon.com Inc.; Andlauer Healthcare Group Inc.; Apple Inc.; Aritzia Inc.; Bombardier Inc.; Cameco Corp.; Canadian National Railway Co.; Capstone Mining Corp.; Eldorado Gold Corp.; Eli Lilly & Co.; Endeavour Mining Corp.; Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd.; Mastercard Inc.; McDonald’s Corp.; NexGen Energy Ltd.; TC Energy Corp.

    **

    Friday May 2

    China’s markets closed

    Japan jobless rate

    Euro zone CPI, jobless rate and manufacturing PMI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. nonfarm payrolls for April. The Street expects an increase of 125,000 from the March with the unemployment rate remaining 4.2 per cent and average hourly wages rising 0.3 per cent.

    (10 a.m. ET) U.S. factory orders for March. Consensus is a month-over-month gain of 4.4 per cent.

    Earnings include: Brookfield Renewable Partners LP; Chevron Corp.; Cigna Corp.; Exxon Mobil Corp.; Imperial Oil Ltd.; Magna International Inc.; Shell ADR; Sprott Inc.; Westshore Terminals Investment Corp.

  • Agnico: Q1 Earnings Snapshot

     Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) on Thursday reported first-quarter profit of $814.7 million.

    The Toronto-based company said it had net income of $1.62 per share. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring gains, were $1.53 per share.

    The results topped Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of five analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of $1.39 per share.

    The gold mining company posted revenue of $2.47 billion in the period.

    Agnico shares have increased 53% since the beginning of the year. In the final minutes of trading on Thursday, shares hit $119.63, an increase of 88% in the last 12 months.

    _____

    This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research.

    Access a Zacks stock report on AEM at https://www.zacks.com/ap/AEM

  • Gold Pulls Back Sharply, Snaps Two-Week Winning Streak

     | Published: 4/25/2025 2:30 PM ET  | 

    On the heels of the notable rebound seen in the previous session, gold futures showed a significant move back to the downside during trading on Friday.

    Gold for April delivery tumbled $49.60 or 1.5 percent to $3.282.40 an ounce after surging $55.70 or 1.7 percent to $3,332 an ounce during Thursday’s session.

    With the sharp pullback on the day, the price of the precious metal slid $26.30 or 0.8 percent for the week, snapping a two-year week winning streak.

    Gold futures gave back ground amid signs of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with President Donald Trump refuting China’s claims that the two countries have not held any trade negotiations.

    “They had a meeting this morning,” Trump told reporters on Thursday. “It doesn’t matter who ‘they’ is. We may reveal it later, but they had meetings this morning, and we’ve been meeting with China.”

    Several reports citing U.S. businesses also said China has exempted some U.S. imports from its 125 percent tariffs

    On the U.S. economic front, a report released by the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment in the U.S. deteriorated modestly less than previously estimated in the month of April.

    The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index for April was upwardly revised to 52.2 from a preliminary reading of 50.8. Economists had expected the index to be unrevised.

    Despite the upward revision, the consumer sentiment index is still down sharply from 57.0 in March and marks its lowest level since hitting 51.5 in July 2022.