Category: Uncategorized

  • Calendar: Sept 21 – Sept 25

    Monday September 21

    Japan’s markets closed (through Wednesday)

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian construction investment for July.

    (11:05 a.m. ET) Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem speaks in Halifax.


    Tuesday September 22

    Euro zone consumer confidence

    (8:15 a.m. ET) U.S. ADP National Employment Report 4-week average change for Sept. 5.

    Earnings include: AutoZone Inc.


    Wednesday September 23

    Euro zone and United Kingdom PMI

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s population estimates for Q2.

    (9:45 a.m. ET) U.S. S&P Global PMIs for September.

    Earnings include: AGF Management Ltd.; Cintas Corp.; General Mills Inc.; Paychex Inc.


    Thursday September 24

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s Survey of Employment, Payrolls and Hours for July.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian retail sales for July. The Street expects a month-over-month decline of 0.8 per cent.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s manufacturing sales for August.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. initial jobless claims for week of Sept. 19. Estimate is 203,000, up 7,000 from the previous week.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. current account balance for Q2.

    (10:00 a.m. ET) U.S. new home sales for August.

    Also: Summit between Chinese President Xi & U.S. President Trump (in Washington)

    Earnings include: BlackBerry Ltd.; Costco Wholesale Corp.


    Friday September 25

    China’s markets closed

    (8:30 a.m. ET) Canadian wholesale trade for August.

    (8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. durable and core goods orders for August.

    (10:00 a.m. ET) U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September.

    Also: Ottawa’s Fiscal Monitor for July.

    Earnings include: Firefly Metals Ltd.; Uranium Energy Corp.

  • Blackstone and Brookfield consortia to bid for GFL

    Some of the world’s biggest infrastructure investors are clubbing up to take over GFL Environmental Inc. in what could be one of the largest leveraged buyouts of the year.

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    KKR & Co., Energy Capital Partners and Blackstone Inc. are bidding together while Brookfield Asset Management and IFM Investors have teamed on a rival bid for the waste manager, according to people familiar with the matter. A decision could be made in the coming weeks, said the people, who asked to not be identified because the details are private.

    GFL gained as much as 8.4 per cent to $62.29 in Toronto on Thursday, its highest price since April. The waste-management company is among the top performers on the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

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    GFL’s special committee is expected to take time to evaluate the proposals and could ask bidders to improve their offers, the people said.

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    No final decision has been made, the timing could change, other bidders could emerge or the consortiums could change, the people added.

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    Representatives for Energy Capital, IFM and Blackstone declined to comment. Spokespeople for GFL, KKR and Brookfield didn’t respond to requests for comment.

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    The field of suitors underscores how giant alternative asset managers are eager to put money to work in infrastructure, banking on steady, long-term growth in the sector. It also harkens back to the leveraged buyout boom of the early 2000s, when buyout shops partnered on major take-privates in retail, energy and healthcare.

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    Club deals fell out of favour due to weak returns and difficulty exiting. Private equity fund investors also didn’t like them because of the concentrated risk. They’ve re-emerged in recent years in instances where buyout firms have gone after jumbo targets such as AES Corp.

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    The GFL pursuit also illustrates the financial wherewithal necessary for a deal of this size. GFL has a market value of about US$19 billion, plus US$10 billion in debt. The takeover of AES, at about US$33 billion including debt, ranks as the largest announced North American LBO of 2026.

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    GFL, with its bright-green trucks that collect household and business garbage, is one of the largest and most visible waste managers in North America, with 15,000 workers and operations throughout Canada and United States. Describing itself as the fourth-largest environmental services company on the continent, it also owns transfer stations, recycling facilities and landfills.

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    GFL announced in July that it had formed a special committee to oversee potential merger talks, after retaining advisers following preliminary takeover interest, Bloomberg News reported at the time.

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    Chief executive Patrick Dovigi, who built GFL with the help of private equity backers before taking it public in Toronto in 2020, has said he would roll all of his ownership stake into any deal. Management maintaining a stake is a classic LBO structure.

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    Dovigi told Bloomberg TV Wednesday that he’s open to taking the company private at a higher valuation than its current stock price.

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    GFL, which has done scores of acquisitions, just completed its combination with Secure Waste Infrastructure Corp., expanding in western Canada and in industrial waste management and energy infrastructure.

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    —With assistance from Ryan Gould, Amy Bainbridge and Stephanie Hughes.

  • Copper rallies as signs of China buying lends support after rate hike

    Copper rallied as traders shrugged off hawkish messaging from the Federal Reserve chair, with signs of increased buying activity in China boosting sentiment.

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    Prices advanced 1.8 per cent to settle at US$14,491.50 a metric ton in London, climbing alongside equities as investors were undeterred by a widely expected interest rate hike by the United States central bank on Wednesday.

    Policymakers at the Federal Reserve pencilled in an additional increase for later this year — a potential headwind for metals demand in capital-intensive manufacturing and industrial sectors. Still, the Fed’s hawkish messaging and a decline in oil prices helped to support broader confidence across markets that the central bank can keep inflation under control.

    Copper also got a boost on signs that China’s spot demand for copper is rising, with the premiums that importers pay above futures to secure cargoes in Shanghai’s Yangshan port climbing sharply over recent days.

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    The metal is still consolidating after slumping from a record last week. Copper had rallied on bets that the U.S. would hit the refined metal with tariffs, with an ongoing surge in U.S. imports triggering concerns about a supply squeeze elsewhere.

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    Yet so far the U.S. has held off on new trade measures, putting that rally in doubt. Expectations of high demand from data centres and renewable energy, as well as supply disruptions at key mines, are still providing support.

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    “Reports of no U.S. copper tariffs unwound some of the physical market speculation,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Sam Crittenden said in a note. “Despite near-term price weakness, fundamentals remain constructive.”

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    All other base metals moved higher, with zinc rising 1.8 per cent and aluminum climbing one per cent.

  • Stellantis sees no ‘long-term business case’ for Brampton plant as Unifor fights sale

    Unifor is demanding the federal government intervene to stop Stellantis NV from selling its Brampton plant, but the automaker has told employees it doesn’t see a “long-term business case” for making vehicles at the facility.

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    Labour negotiations with Stellantis were put on hold last Friday after the union said it was informed the automaker had signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) for the sale of the idle plant to Canadian armoured vehicle manufacturer Roshel Inc.

    “Stellantis is 100 per cent serious about exiting Brampton. Currently, that is their only plan,” Unifor national president Lana Payne said at a news conference Thursday, adding the union is not accepting the decision.

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    “Selling that plant in the middle of a trade war, and in the middle of collective bargaining, is indefensible. This would make Brampton the first auto plant to fall in this trade war. And when plants close, they rarely, if ever, come back.”

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    Payne said Stellantis, which owns brands including Dodge, Jeep and Peugeot, had assured the union as recently as Aug. 12 that it was committed to the plant.

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    The Brampton plant has been idled since 2023 after it began undergoing a retooling to produce the Jeep Compass. Stellantis has since announced plans to move production of the vehicle to the U.S., leaving the future of about 2,200 Brampton workers in limbo.

    But Stellantis on Thursday sent a letter to employees saying the company has considered “a range of options” since it reversed those plans, a move made after United States President Donald Trump made it clear he would impose tariffs on foreign-made cars and trucks.

    “The automotive industry continues to face unpredictable trade policies, challenging regulatory requirements and affordability pressures,” Trevor Longley, chief executive of Stellantis Canada, said in the letter.

    “While each option was carefully reviewed, none provided a sustainable long-term business case that would support continued operations at the facility.”

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    Vito Beato, president of Unifor Local 1285 in Brampton, said the letter represented the first time the automaker has communicated with workers in three years. He said Stellantis’s lack of commitment to the Brampton facility and uncertainty over its future are taking a heavy toll on workers.

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    “We were supposed to be back to work right now, as of today, and when you look at our plant, it’s ready to go and it’s ready to build. Our members are ready to get to work,” he said.

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    “Our members are very anxious and very worried right now, but we’re strong in sticking together and making sure that we can try to flip the script on this and get back to work as soon as we can and stay alive for another day.”

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    Payne said Unifor has not been part of any discussions between Stellantis and Roshel, which is headquartered near the Stellantis plant in Brampton, and demanded more clarity from the federal government about its involvement in the potential deal.

    “This is one of the reasons we need to understand what role, if any, the federal government has played here. We need to know what they know,” she said. “I’m not that happy with the role Roshel has played here, whether intended or not. It has interfered with and brought additional complications to our bargaining with Stellantis.”

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    Roshel has said it is seeking a Canadian military contract worth as much as $4.9 billion to build light-utility vehicles. The company has told Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government it could quickly reactivate the facility if it lands the contract.

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    Roshel chief executive Roman Shimonov has said his company is the only serious potential buyer for the facility and described the MOU as the first step in a “very complicated” process.

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    “It’s a document that clearly specifies the plan, the responsibilities, the framework and everything else,” he said. “We have a clear plan, and this MOU is outlining the whole process.”

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    Payne, however, said selling the plant and converting it into a military manufacturing facility, even if it could mean rehiring laid-off workers, is not an acceptable option for Unifor, and is seeking clarity from the government about what role, if any, Ottawa has played in the potential sale.

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    She said such a move would significantly reduce Canada’s automotive footprint, adding that if Stellantis is willing to break its commitments in Brampton, it could also do so at its Windsor Assembly Plant, where the company produces the Chrysler Pacifica minivan, and its Etobicoke Casting Plant.

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    “If Roshel wants to expand its operations in Brampton, we support that, but not at the Brampton assembly plant,” she said, adding the prospect of a defence contract can’t compare with the production of hundreds of thousands of commercial vehicles.

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    Unifor also said its current collective agreement with Stellantis ends Sept. 20, but that is not a strike deadline.

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    “However, bargaining remains extremely challenging right now and, as I’ve stated, we are at an impasse,” Payne said. “Therefore, strike action remains a real possibility.”

  • Fed approves interest rate hike, signals one more to come this year

    • The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%-4%, its first increase since 2023.
    • The FOMC approved the move unanimously after three members favored a hike at the July meeting.
    • Updated projections point to the possibility of another rate increase this year.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html

  • US Fed Rate Announcement

    he U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its interest-rate decision today, September 16, 2026, at:

    • 1:00 p.m. Winnipeg/Central Time
    • 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time
    • Fed press conference: 1:30 p.m. Winnipeg time

    Markets strongly expect a 0.25-percentage-point increase, potentially lifting the federal-funds target from 3.50%–3.75% to 3.75%–4.00%, but this is not confirmed until the announcement. Federal Reserve calendar

    Expect increased volatility in the Canadian dollar, gold, technology stocks and interest-sensitive TSX sectors around 1:00–2:00 p.m. Central Time.

  • List of announcements coming out of the Canada Investment Summit

    Prime Minister Mark Carney has gathered the biggest rainmakers from around the world to showcase the country’s major deals and projects at the Canada Investment Summit.

    The pitch to the hundreds of CEOs, investors and wealth managers in attendance: Canada, with its vast natural resources, has plentiful opportunities for foreign capital to be put to good use.

    So, what are those opportunities, especially on the backdrop of growing protectionism from Canada’s southern neighbour? Here is a running list of the major announcements that have come out of this week’s summit, plus the ones on the periphery.

    From the summit

    Nationwide internet network

    Little detail has been shared about Mr. Carney’s announcement to finance a new internet network that he says would provide nationwide sovereign internet connectivity.

    “We will reinvest the tens of billions of dollars of capital we raise into the infrastructure that Canada needs for the next generation,” Mr. Carney said as part of his opening remarks.

    That will mean “helping to finance new nation-building infrastructure, including a sovereign broadband backbone that connects Canadians from coast to coast to coast, with more direct and secure links to Europe and Asia,” he said.

    A broadband backbone is the high-capacity core of the internet network that carries traffic between cities and countries.

    Private investment of major Canadian airports

    Mr. Carney said the government would open opportunities for private investment in four of Canada’s largest airports, which are located in Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto and Montreal.

    The government will retain ownership of land and assets, but seek private investment through long-term concessions to operate the airports. Mr. Carney said the capital raised through private investors will be reinvested into infrastructure, including regional airports.

    The concession concept is a common approach to running airports in Europe, Asia and Australia. Outside investors run restaurants, stores and other passenger-facing elements in the airport. Governments typically maintain ownership of the land and assets, and regulate returns on essential services, such as baggage handling.

    Productivity mega deduction

    Mr. Carney announced a “productivity mega deduction” that lets companies immediately deduct 100 per cent of the cost of new investment across far more assets than previously allowed.

    The existing suite of tax incentives let businesses write off the costs of new capital investment for about 15 per cent of assets right away, focusing on manufacturing and processing, clean energy, productivity and research investments.

    The new mega deduction covers about 65 per cent of assets, including fibre-optic cable, mining property, oil and gas pipelines, software, computer equipment, aircraft and vehicles, patents, rail track, bridges and roads.

    It also roughly cuts Canada’s marginal effective tax rate on new business investment in half, from 13 per cent to 6.4 per cent. The government says that is the lowest rate of any major advanced economy.

    Periphery announcements

    Bell Canada expanding data centre capacity

    BCE Inc. announced it plans to quadruple the capacity of its artificial-intelligence data centre operations in Saskatchewan. The company has ambitions to provide up to 1.2 gigawatts of compute power across three new facilities in the province through a series of investments that could top $5-billion.

    The expansion, proposed through a non-binding memorandum of understanding with the province, would build on the company’s current 300-megawatt project currently under construction in Sherwood, Sask., and will follow the same structure, where Bell will build the physical facility and arrange for power and internet connections. Commercial partners, meanwhile, will provide the compute technology.

    Advanced tax rulings

    At an event the day before the summit, Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne announced a new federal measure to offer “advance tax rulings” for investments of $1-billion or more. That would give investors binding decisions on how Canadian tax law will apply on a transaction before they commit capital, giving them more certainty.

    Brookfield-CPPIB’s $50-billion “Maple Fund”

    The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, a co-organizer of the summit, and Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. are jointly launching a $50-billion “Maple Fund” that will make major investments in infrastructure and key sectors in Canada, two sources told The Globe and Mail.

    They said Brookfield and CPPIB will each put up as much as $25-billion over the next five years to make equity investments in sectors that Canada considers strategic, as well as critical infrastructure projects.

    The Globe and Mail is not identifying the sources because they are not authorized to discuss the agreement publicly.

    Other major pension funds earmark billions in investment

    Some of Canada’s other big pension funds also announced billions of dollars they intend to invest ahead of the summit.

    • Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan announced that it’s aiming to invest an additional $10-billion in Canada by the end of 2027, increasing the size of its $100-billion domestic portfolio.
    • The $321-billion Public Sector Pension Investment Board said it is aiming to increase its investments in the country by roughly one-third, from $72.4-billion to $100-billion, over the next few years.
    • Sun Life Financial Inc. also announced an infrastructure investing initiative that seeks to deploy $5-billion over five years to “support Canada’s economic growth and resilience, while delivering long-term returns,” the company said in a statement.
    Nearly $325-billion from the big five banks

    Leading up to the summit, five of Canada’s biggest banks announced various amounts of capital each would commit to a wide range of industries:

    • Toronto-Dominion Bank is committing $150-billion over five years in new lending, underwriting, advisory and other financing activities. Its focus is on five key sectors: including energy, critical minerals and resources, defence and aerospace, digital technology and artificial intelligence, and infrastructure.
    • Bank of Nova Scotia is committing more than $100-billion to focus on sectors targeted by Canada’s Major Projects Office, and is launching an institute aimed at assessing the country’s long-term competitiveness.
    • Bank of Montreal is deploying up to $70-billion in new capital over 10 years for sectors considered critical to Canada’s economy, including electricity, energy and transportation infrastructure, mining and critical minerals, AI computing, defence and security, and oil and gas.
    • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is committing $2-billion over five years to small- and medium-sized defence-related and dual-use businesses in Canada.
    • Royal Bank of Canada is launching a $1.4-billion fund aimed at investing in Canadian technology companies.
    Radical Ventures new fund for AI megadeals

    Radical Ventures said it raised US$1-billion for a new fund, for which it’s targeting to raise a total of US$4-billion.

    The VC, which is focused on AI companies, said it secured investments from PSPIP, CCPIB, Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan, TD, CI Global Asset Management, OPSEU Pension Trust, and BMO.

    Arlene Dickinson’s new agri-food fund

    Entrepreneur-investor Arlene Dickinson launched a $500-million fund focused on financing Canadian food and agriculture companies that are targeting markets in Southeast Asia.

    Farm Credit Canada is a limited partner, committing $150-million from a separate, $1-billion fund. Dickinson, the general partner, told The Globe in an e-mail that she is looking for international and Canadian investors to contribute the remaining funds.

    Carlyle ups its stake in Canadian oil patch

    Carlyle Group-backed Avenrock Energy Inc. said on Monday it agreed to buy Parallax Energy Operating Inc. The deal gives it a 75-per-cent operating interest in light oil assets in the East Shale Duvernay in Alberta.

    Avenrock did not provide a value for the transaction, though a source with knowledge of the deal said Parallax’s enterprise value was about $1-billion. Gross production from the assets is roughly 20,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day, with 85 per cent made up of oil and natural gas liquids.

    The Globe and Mail is not identifying the person as they are not authorized to discuss the details of the transaction.

    These assets were not among those listed in a prospectus of mostly infrastructure projects for Ottawa’s investment summit, though Carlyle is participant in the event.

    Power Sustainable’s $10-billion investment

    Montreal-based Power Sustainable plans to channel at least $10-billion into Canadian infrastructure and companies over the next five years. The sustainability-focused asset manager, a subsidiary of financial services giant Power Corp. of Canada, plans to invest from its own funds, draw in capital from co-investors, and tap debt markets to finance a growing pipeline of potential projects.

    Meeting the $10-billion target would roughly double Power Sustainable’s total investing activity since it launched its first energy infrastructure strategy in 2021.

  • Dollarama beats sales-growth estimates, raises forecast as ‘careful’ shoppers seek out discounts

    Cautious consumers are continuing to flock to discount stores, boosting sales and profits for Dollarama Inc. DOL-T -1.69%decrease, and leading the Canadian retailer to hike its sales-growth forecast for this year.

    Shoppers are “making careful spending decisions,” which is driving more traffic to Dollarama locations, chief executive officer Neil Rossy noted in a press release on Wednesday.

    Household budgets have been strained by a spike in fuel prices tied to the conflict in the Middle East, while the trade war between Canada and the U.S. has created significant economic uncertainty that is weighing on consumer sentiment.

    The Montreal-based retailer reported its comparable sales – an important metric that tracks the performance of stores open more than a year, excluding the impact of store openings or closings – grew by 5.4 per cent in the quarter ended Aug. 2. That exceeded analysts’ expectations of 4.2-per-cent sales growth, according to consensus estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ.

    Decoder: What trade war? Suddenly, Canadian consumers are looking healthier than U.S. shoppers

    The results were driven both by an increase in the number of transactions at the stores, and the amount that customers bought during each visit.

    Dollarama now expects its comparable sales growth for this fiscal year to be in the range of 4 to 4.5 per cent, up from its last guidance of 3 to 4 per cent.

    Net earnings grew to $349.3-million or $1.29 per share on a diluted basis, compared with $321.5-million or $1.16 per diluted share in the quarter last year.

    In the second quarter, total sales grew to roughly $2-billion, a 17.6-per-cent jump compared with the same period last year. Those results were driven by an increase in the number of stores in Canada, as well as comparable sales growth.

    Total sales also benefited from the inclusion of Australian discount store chain The Reject Shop Ltd., which Dollarama acquired last year. The second quarter of 2025 only recorded 13 days of sales results in Australia following the closing of that deal.

    In Canada, Dollarama has slightly accelerated its plans for store expansion, with 65 to 75 new locations set to open this year, compared with previous expectations of 60 to 70. The retailer had 1,734 stores in Canada as of Aug. 2, 69 more locations than it had at the same time last year.

  • Americans’ incomes rose and poverty fell in 2025, Census Bureau says

    • Real median household income rose 2.6% to $87,460 in 2025, new Census Bureau data shows, as the official poverty rate declined to 10.2%.
    • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent highlighted the report during House testimony.
    • The Fed is meeting this week to decide whether inflation still warrants higher interest rates.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/15/income-poverty-census-fed-interest-rates.html